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Granger Causality Analysis on Indonesia and Malaysia Business Sectors

Donny Bagus Prasetya

Published by LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing
ISBN 10: 365938884X / ISBN 13: 9783659388842
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Title: Granger Causality Analysis on Indonesia and ...

Publisher: LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing

Binding: Paperback

Book Condition: New

Book Type: Paperback

Description:

Paperback. 100 pages. Dimensions: 8.7in. x 5.9in. x 0.2in.Tourism and export are important business sectors for economic growth, and plays important roles in developing countries such as Indonesia and Malaysia. To examine the causality among tourism, using international tourist arrivals (ITA) as a proxy, export, and economic growth, using real GDP as a proxy, Johansens cointegration test and Granger causality have been employed. The relationship among tourism, export, and economic growth is essential to policy development in developing countries. By using annual data from 1980 to 2010, for Indonesias time series, results show that bidirectional Granger causality runs between tourism and export. While, a unidirectional Granger causality runs from GDP to export as well as from GDP to tourism. Meanwhile, for Malaysias time series, results show that there is no Granger causality between variables. However, neither export-led growth hypothesis nor tourism-led hypothesis is supported for both Indonesias and Malaysias time series. This item ships from multiple locations. Your book may arrive from Roseburg,OR, La Vergne,TN. Bookseller Inventory # 9783659388842

About this title:

Synopsis: Tourism and export are important business sectors for economic growth, and plays important roles in developing countries such as Indonesia and Malaysia. To examine the causality among tourism, using international tourist arrivals (ITA) as a proxy, export, and economic growth, using real GDP as a proxy, Johansen's cointegration test and Granger causality have been employed. The relationship among tourism, export, and economic growth is essential to policy development in developing countries. By using annual data from 1980 to 2010, for Indonesia?s time series, results show that bidirectional Granger causality runs between tourism and export. While, a unidirectional Granger causality runs from GDP to export as well as from GDP to tourism. Meanwhile, for Malaysia?s time series, results show that there is no Granger causality between variables. However, neither export-led growth hypothesis nor tourism-led hypothesis is supported for both Indonesia?s and Malaysia?s time series.

About the Author: Donny Bagus Prasetya graduated from Graduate School of International Trade, Chinese Culture University, Taiwan. He earned his Bachelor's degree from International Relations' Department, Airlangga University, Indonesia. His research field is international political economy.

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