Failing the Crystal Ball Test: The Carter Administration and the Fundamentalist Revolution in Iran

3 avg rating
( 1 ratings by Goodreads )
 
9780275968724: Failing the Crystal Ball Test: The Carter Administration and the Fundamentalist Revolution in Iran
View all copies of this ISBN edition:
 
 

With the Iranian revolution as her focal point, Seliktar offers a systematic analysis of predictive failure in foreign policy at the paradigmatic, policy, and intelligence levels. Seliktar first examines how social science paradigms determine conceptualizations of political change, and then applies that analysis to understanding New Internationalism, the Carter administration's foreign policy philosophy at the time of the Shah's fall from power. Based in part on classified documents seized during the takeover of the American embassy, Failing the Crystal Ball Test is a valuable addition to Middle Eastern studies, international relations, and comparative politics collections.

Seliktar engages in a general discussion of the problems entailed in correctly assessing the political legitimacy of foreign regimes, and describes the origins of New Internationalism as influenced by the New Left dependency theories. Examining President Carter's application of New Internationalism to Iran, Seliktar presents an account first of political influences on the predictive process during the early stages of revolution, and then of the administration's misreading of the likelihood of a fundamentalist regime in Teheran.

"synopsis" may belong to another edition of this title.

About the Author:

OFIRA SELIKTAR is Associate Professor of Political Science at Gratz College in Pennsylvania./e

Review:

"[p]rovides a competent summary and synthesis of the literature on regime change and the predictive process....[m]akes a persuasive case that, while there can be no guarantee in any prediction of political change, assessments could be more self-conscious about the ontological and epistemological assumptions that influence them."-The International History Review

..."the author provides a sound theoretical base for understanding Carter's dilemmas toward Iran. Recommended for students and specialists alike. Upper-division undergraduates and above."-Choice

"Ýp¨rovides a competent summary and synthesis of the literature on regime change and the predictive process....Ým¨akes a persuasive case that, while there can be no guarantee in any prediction of political change, assessments could be more self-conscious about the ontological and epistemological assumptions that influence them."-The International History Review

?...the author provides a sound theoretical base for understanding Carter's dilemmas toward Iran. Recommended for students and specialists alike. Upper-division undergraduates and above.?-Choice

?[p]rovides a competent summary and synthesis of the literature on regime change and the predictive process....[m]akes a persuasive case that, while there can be no guarantee in any prediction of political change, assessments could be more self-conscious about the ontological and epistemological assumptions that influence them.?-The International History Review

.,."the author provides a sound theoretical base for understanding Carter's dilemmas toward Iran. Recommended for students and specialists alike. Upper-division undergraduates and above."-Choice

"[A]n excellent and in-depth study of how policy-maker's views can blind them to what is happening. A must read for both academics and policy officers who seek greater understanding of cross-cultural clashes."-John D. Stempel Director and Professor of International Studies University of Kentucky

"A rare and valuable case study of foreign policy-making in the eye of a political hurricane. It is also a trenchant critique of the two-dimensional tradition of academic and professional political analysis that could not cope intellectually with the non-rational' factors of religion, culture and national psychology that dominated the Khomeini upheaval."-Joseph V. Montville Director Preventive Diplomacy Program

"About this title" may belong to another edition of this title.

Buy New View Book
List Price: US$ 86.00
US$ 115.02

Convert currency

Shipping: FREE
From United Kingdom to U.S.A.

Destination, rates & speeds

Add to Basket

Top Search Results from the AbeBooks Marketplace

1.

Ofira Seliktar
Published by ABC-CLIO, United States (2000)
ISBN 10: 0275968723 ISBN 13: 9780275968724
New Hardcover Quantity Available: 10
Print on Demand
Seller:
Book Depository International
(London, United Kingdom)
Rating
[?]

Book Description ABC-CLIO, United States, 2000. Hardback. Condition: New. New. Language: English . Brand New Book ***** Print on Demand *****. With the Iranian revolution as her focal point, Seliktar offers a systematic analysis of predictive failure in foreign policy at the paradigmatic, policy, and intelligence levels. Seliktar first examines how social science paradigms determine conceptualizations of political change, and then applies that analysis to understanding New Internationalism, the Carter administration s foreign policy philosophy at the time of the Shah s fall from power. Based in part on classified documents seized during the takeover of the American embassy, Failing the Crystal Ball Test is a valuable addition to Middle Eastern studies, international relations, and comparative politics collections. Seliktar engages in a general discussion of the problems entailed in correctly assessing the political legitimacy of foreign regimes, and describes the origins of New Internationalism as influenced by the New Left dependency theories. Examining President Carter s application of New Internationalism to Iran, Seliktar presents an account first of political influences on the predictive process during the early stages of revolution, and then of the administration s misreading of the likelihood of a fundamentalist regime in Teheran. Seller Inventory # APC9780275968724

More information about this seller | Contact this seller

Buy New
US$ 115.02
Convert currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: FREE
From United Kingdom to U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds

2.

Ofira Seliktar
Published by Praeger (2000)
ISBN 10: 0275968723 ISBN 13: 9780275968724
New Hardcover Quantity Available: 1
Seller:
Ergodebooks
(RICHMOND, TX, U.S.A.)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Praeger, 2000. Hardcover. Condition: New. Seller Inventory # DADAX0275968723

More information about this seller | Contact this seller

Buy New
US$ 115.43
Convert currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: US$ 3.99
Within U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds

3.

Ofira Seliktar
Published by ABC-CLIO, United States (2000)
ISBN 10: 0275968723 ISBN 13: 9780275968724
New Hardcover Quantity Available: 10
Print on Demand
Seller:
The Book Depository
(London, United Kingdom)
Rating
[?]

Book Description ABC-CLIO, United States, 2000. Hardback. Condition: New. New. Language: English . Brand New Book ***** Print on Demand *****.With the Iranian revolution as her focal point, Seliktar offers a systematic analysis of predictive failure in foreign policy at the paradigmatic, policy, and intelligence levels. Seliktar first examines how social science paradigms determine conceptualizations of political change, and then applies that analysis to understanding New Internationalism, the Carter administration s foreign policy philosophy at the time of the Shah s fall from power. Based in part on classified documents seized during the takeover of the American embassy, Failing the Crystal Ball Test is a valuable addition to Middle Eastern studies, international relations, and comparative politics collections. Seliktar engages in a general discussion of the problems entailed in correctly assessing the political legitimacy of foreign regimes, and describes the origins of New Internationalism as influenced by the New Left dependency theories. Examining President Carter s application of New Internationalism to Iran, Seliktar presents an account first of political influences on the predictive process during the early stages of revolution, and then of the administration s misreading of the likelihood of a fundamentalist regime in Teheran. Seller Inventory # APC9780275968724

More information about this seller | Contact this seller

Buy New
US$ 122.55
Convert currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: FREE
From United Kingdom to U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds

4.

Seliktar, Ofira
Published by ABC-CLIO (2000)
ISBN 10: 0275968723 ISBN 13: 9780275968724
New Quantity Available: > 20
Print on Demand
Seller:
Pbshop
(Wood Dale, IL, U.S.A.)
Rating
[?]

Book Description ABC-CLIO, 2000. HRD. Condition: New. New Book. Shipped from US within 10 to 14 business days. THIS BOOK IS PRINTED ON DEMAND. Established seller since 2000. Seller Inventory # IQ-9780275968724

More information about this seller | Contact this seller

Buy New
US$ 123.46
Convert currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: US$ 3.99
Within U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds

5.

Ofira Seliktar
Published by Praeger
ISBN 10: 0275968723 ISBN 13: 9780275968724
New Hardcover Quantity Available: > 20
Seller:
BuySomeBooks
(Las Vegas, NV, U.S.A.)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Praeger. Hardcover. Condition: New. 272 pages. Dimensions: 9.6in. x 6.4in. x 1.0in.With the Iranian revolution as her focal point, Seliktar offers a systematic analysis of predictive failure in foreign policy at the paradigmatic, policy, and intelligence levels. Seliktar first examines how social science paradigms determine conceptualizations of political change, and then applies that analysis to understanding New Internationalism, the Carter administrations foreign policy philosophy at the time of the Shahs fall from power. Based in part on classified documents seized during the takeover of the American embassy, Failing the Crystal Ball Test is a valuable addition to Middle Eastern studies, international relations, and comparative politics collections. Seliktar engages in a general discussion of the problems entailed in correctly assessing the political legitimacy of foreign regimes, and describes the origins of New Internationalism as influenced by the New Left dependency theories. Examining President Carters application of New Internationalism to Iran, Seliktar presents an account first of political influences on the predictive process during the early stages of revolution, and then of the administrations misreading of the likelihood of a fundamentalist regime in Teheran. This item ships from multiple locations. Your book may arrive from Roseburg,OR, La Vergne,TN. Hardcover. Seller Inventory # 9780275968724

More information about this seller | Contact this seller

Buy New
US$ 127.49
Convert currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: FREE
Within U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds

6.

Seliktar, Ofira
Published by ABC-CLIO (2000)
ISBN 10: 0275968723 ISBN 13: 9780275968724
New Quantity Available: > 20
Print on Demand
Seller:
Books2Anywhere
(Fairford, GLOS, United Kingdom)
Rating
[?]

Book Description ABC-CLIO, 2000. HRD. Condition: New. New Book. Delivered from our UK warehouse in 4 to 14 business days. THIS BOOK IS PRINTED ON DEMAND. Established seller since 2000. Seller Inventory # IQ-9780275968724

More information about this seller | Contact this seller

Buy New
US$ 118.91
Convert currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: US$ 11.42
From United Kingdom to U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds

7.

Seliktar, Ofira
Published by Praeger
ISBN 10: 0275968723 ISBN 13: 9780275968724
New Hardcover Quantity Available: > 20
Seller:
Russell Books
(Victoria, BC, Canada)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Praeger. Hardcover. Condition: New. 0275968723 Special order direct from the distributor. Seller Inventory # ING9780275968724

More information about this seller | Contact this seller

Buy New
US$ 129.00
Convert currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: US$ 7.00
From Canada to U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds

8.

Ofira Seliktar
Published by Praeger (2000)
ISBN 10: 0275968723 ISBN 13: 9780275968724
New Hardcover Quantity Available: 1
Seller:
Irish Booksellers
(Portland, ME, U.S.A.)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Praeger, 2000. Condition: New. book. Seller Inventory # M0275968723

More information about this seller | Contact this seller

Buy New
US$ 138.40
Convert currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: US$ 3.27
Within U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds

9.

Seliktar, Ofira
Published by Praeger Publishers (2016)
ISBN 10: 0275968723 ISBN 13: 9780275968724
New Paperback Quantity Available: 1
Print on Demand
Seller:
Ria Christie Collections
(Uxbridge, United Kingdom)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Praeger Publishers, 2016. Paperback. Condition: New. PRINT ON DEMAND Book; New; Publication Year 2016; Not Signed; Fast Shipping from the UK. No. book. Seller Inventory # ria9780275968724_lsuk

More information about this seller | Contact this seller

Buy New
US$ 163.89
Convert currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: US$ 4.91
From United Kingdom to U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds

10.

Ofira Seliktar
ISBN 10: 0275968723 ISBN 13: 9780275968724
New Quantity Available: 1
Seller:
BennettBooksLtd
(San Diego, CA, U.S.A.)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Condition: New. New. Seller Inventory # STR-0275968723

More information about this seller | Contact this seller

Buy New
US$ 236.25
Convert currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: US$ 4.95
Within U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds