DPL 4.0: Professional Decision Analysis Software: Academic Edition

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9780534353681: DPL 4.0: Professional Decision Analysis Software: Academic Edition

Now available in Version 4.0 for Windows 95, this software package with its accompanying handbook teaches students to use DPL -- the popular software that is simple enough for beginning students to learn, and yet powerful enough for professional decision analysis. The student version of DPL offers all the capability of the professional version, minus the advanced run-time optimization features that students typically don't need.

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1. OVERVIEW OF DECISION ANALYSIS What is Decision Analysis? / Phase I: Framing / Phase II: Building a Model and Gathering Data / Phase III: Analysis and Evaluation / Phase IV: Making the Decision 2. SYSTEM OVERVIEW DPL Windows / Project Manager / The Model Window / Running an Analysis / Endpoint Database / Saving / Importing and Exporting Elements of a DPL Project / Printing / Session Log / Options / On-Line Help 3. DECISION ANALYSIS TUTORIAL Introduction / The Spreadsheet / Welcome to DPL! / The DPL Model / Modeling Decisions and Strategy Tables / Sensitivity Analysis / Probabilistic Modeling / Analyzing the DPL Model / Further Analysis / Wrapping Up 4. DECISIONS AND STRATEGY TABLES What is a Decision? / Tutorial: Decisions / Strategy Tables / Tutorial: Strategy Tables 5. CHANCE EVENTS What is a Chance Event? / Tutorial: Chance Events 6. VALUES, GET/PAY EXTENSIONS, AND OBJECT FUNCTIONS Modeling with Value Nodes / Modeling with Get/Pay Expressions / Modeling with an Objective Function / Tutorial: Values, Get/Pay Expressions, and Objective Functions 7. MULTIPLE ATTRIBUTE MODELS How to Use Model Multiple Attributes / Using a Constraint Function / Tutorial: Modeling Decisions with Multiple Objectives 8. TIMING AND STRUCTURE Too Many Trees? / Timing / Structure / Tutorial / Tutorial: Timing and Structure 9. SPREADSHEETS Spreadsheet Links / Tutorial: Spreadsheets 10. EVALUATION METHODS How DPL Analyzes a Model / How DPL Calculates Expected Value / Tutorial: Calculating the Expected Value of a Model / How Can DPL Run so Fast? / How DPL Runs a Simulation / Tutorial: Simulation / How DPL Calculates Multiple Attribute Models / Tutorial: Analyzing Models with Multiple Objectives / Modeling Risk Attitude / Tutorial: Risk Tolerance/Certain Equivalent 11. POLICY TREES How DPL Generates Policy Trees / Reading a Policy Tree / Tutorial: Policy Tree 12. RISK PROFILES How DPL Generates Risk Profiles / Reading Risk Profiles / Tutorial: Risk Profile Chart / Using Reduction to Convert a Risk Profile into a Chance Event / Tutorial: Reduction 13. EXPECTED VALUE TORNADO DIAGRAMS How DPL Generates an Expected Value Tornado Diagram / Reading an Expected Value Tornado Diagram / Tutorial: Expected Value Tornado Diagrams 14. DPL PROGRAMS What is a DPL Program? / Overview of DPL Programs / Defining Components in the Definition Section / Defining Event Sequences / Advanced Techniques for Programs / Tutorial: Converting a Model to a Program 15. POLICY SUMMARIES AND COMPARISONS How DPL Generates Policy Summaries and Comparisons / Reading a Policy Summary / Reading a Policy Comparison / Tutorial: Policy Summary and Comparison 16. VALUE OF PERFECT INFORMATION AND CONTROL How DPL Calculates the Value of Perfect Information and Control / Reading a Value of Information and Control Graph / Tutorial: Value of Perfect Information and Control 17. RAINBOW DIAGRAMS How DPL Generates a Rainbow Diagram / Reading a Rainbow Diagram / Tutorial: Rainbow Diagrams 18. BASE CASE TORNADO DIAGRAMS How DPL Generates a Base Case Tornado Diagram / Reading a Base Case Tornado Diagram / What Should the Base Case Be? / Including Constants in a Base Case Tornado Diagram / Tutorial: Base Case Tornado Diagram 19. EVENT TORNADO DIAGRAMS How DPL Generates a Deterministic Event Tornado Diagram / Reading a Deterministic Event Tornado Diagram / How DPL Generates a Probabilistic Event Tornado Diagram / Reading a Probabilistic Event Tornado Diagram / When Should You Use a Probabilistic Tornado Diagram? / Tutorial: Event Tornado Diagram / INDEX / GLOSSARY / BIBLIOGRAPHY

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Inc. Applied Decision Analysis
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Inc. Applied Decision Analysis
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