The American Campaign: U.S. Presidential Campaigns and the National Vote

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9781585446285: The American Campaign: U.S. Presidential Campaigns and the National Vote

Reporting data and predicting trends through the 2008 campaign, this classroom-tested volume offers again James E. Campbell’s theory of the predictable campaign,” incorporating the fundamental conditions that systematically affect the presidential vote: political competition, presidential incumbency, and election-year economic conditions.

Campbell’s cogent thinking and clear style present students with a readable survey of presidential elections and political scientists’ ways of studying them. The American Campaign also shows how and why journalists have mistakenly assigned a pattern of unpredictability and critical significance to the vagaries of individual campaigns.

This excellent election-year text provides:

a summary and assessment of each of the serious predictive models of presidential election outcomes;

a historical summary of many of America’s important presidential elections;

a significant new contribution to the understanding of presidential campaigns and how they matter.

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About the Author:

JAMES E. CAMPBELL is a professor of political science at the University at Buffalo, SUNY. His numerous articles on voting and elections have been published in journals such as American Political Science Review, American Journal of Political Science, and Journal of Politics.

From Booklist:

Campbell, a political science professor, argues that presidential campaigns do affect election results in a systematic, predictable way. Although these effects are constrained (by voters' partisanship, economic conditions, incumbency, and competition), Campbell gives post^-Labor Day campaigns credit, on average, for four percentage points' impact on the national vote, with the campaigns decisive in two of the last 13 elections (1948 and 1960). Over a longer period, campaigns have played a critical role in 20 percent of presidential races. Campbell describes the systematic and unsystematic effects of campaigns on both local and national levels; uses statistical analysis to challenge the notion that Americans are becoming less partisan; and suggests that campaigns exert much of their effect by influencing the partisanship of late-deciding voters. Larger libraries where serious studies of politics circulate will want to consider this thoughtful entry in the current debate over whether U.S. political campaigns matter and, if so, how much and why. Mary Carroll

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Book Description Texas A&M University Press. Paperback. Book Condition: New. 336 pages. Dimensions: 9.2in. x 6.1in. x 1.0in.Reporting data and predicting trends through the 2008 campaign, this classroom-tested volume offers again James E. Campbells theory of the predictable campaign, incorporating the fundamental conditions that systematically affect the presidential vote: political competition, presidential incumbency, and election-year economic conditions. Campbells cogent thinking and clear style present students with a readable survey of presidential elections and political scientists ways of studying them. The American Campaign also shows how and why journalists have mistakenly assigned a pattern of unpredictability and critical significance to the vagaries of individual campaigns. This excellent election-year text provides: a summary and assessment of each of the serious predictive models of presidential election outcomes;a historical summary of many of Americas important presidential elections;a significant new contribution to the understanding of presidential campaigns and how they matter. This item ships from multiple locations. Your book may arrive from Roseburg,OR, La Vergne,TN. Paperback. Bookseller Inventory # 9781585446285

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Book Description Paperback. Book Condition: New. 2nd. Paperback. Reporting data and predicting trends through the 2008 campaign, this classroom-tested volume offers again James E. Campbell's theory of the predictable campaign, incorporating the fundamen.Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability. 312 pages. 0.567. Bookseller Inventory # 9781585446285

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Book Description Texas A M University Press, United States, 2008. Paperback. Book Condition: New. 2nd Revised edition. Language: English . Brand New Book. Reporting data and predicting trends through the 2008 campaign, this classroom-tested volume offers again James E. Campbell s theory of the predictable campaign, incorporating the fundamental conditions that systematically affect the presidential vote: political competition, presidential incumbency, and election-year economic conditions. Campbell s cogent thinking and clear style present students with a readable survey of presidential elections and political scientists ways of studying them. The American Campaign also shows how and why journalists have mistakenly assigned a pattern of unpredictability and critical significance to the vagaries of individual campaigns. This excellent election-year text provides: a summary and assessment of each of the serious predictive models of presidential election outcomes; a historical summary of many of America s important presidential elections; and a significant new contribution to the understanding of presidential campaigns and how they matter. Bookseller Inventory # AAC9781585446285

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James E. Campbell
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Book Description Texas A M University Press, United States, 2008. Paperback. Book Condition: New. 2nd Revised edition. Language: English . Brand New Book. Reporting data and predicting trends through the 2008 campaign, this classroom-tested volume offers again James E. Campbell s theory of the predictable campaign, incorporating the fundamental conditions that systematically affect the presidential vote: political competition, presidential incumbency, and election-year economic conditions. Campbell s cogent thinking and clear style present students with a readable survey of presidential elections and political scientists ways of studying them. The American Campaign also shows how and why journalists have mistakenly assigned a pattern of unpredictability and critical significance to the vagaries of individual campaigns. This excellent election-year text provides: a summary and assessment of each of the serious predictive models of presidential election outcomes; a historical summary of many of America s important presidential elections; and a significant new contribution to the understanding of presidential campaigns and how they matter. Bookseller Inventory # AAC9781585446285

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