Proving History: Bayes's Theorem and the Quest for the Historical Jesus

3.93 avg rating
( 233 ratings by Goodreads )
 
9781616145590: Proving History: Bayes's Theorem and the Quest for the Historical Jesus
View all copies of this ISBN edition:
 
 

This in-depth discussion of New Testament scholarship and the challenges of history as a whole proposes Bayes’s Theorem, which deals with probabilities under conditions of uncertainty, as a solution to the problem of establishing reliable historical criteria. The author demonstrates that valid historical methods—not only in the study of Christian origins but in any historical study—can be described by, and reduced to, the logic of Bayes’s Theorem. Conversely, he argues that any method that cannot be reduced to this theorem is invalid and should be abandoned.

Writing with thoroughness and clarity, the author explains Bayes’s Theorem in terms that are easily understandable to professional historians and laypeople alike, employing nothing more than well-known primary school math. He then explores precisely how the theorem can be applied to history and addresses numerous challenges to and criticisms of its use in testing or justifying the conclusions that historians make about the important persons and events of the past. The traditional and established methods of historians are analyzed using the theorem, as well as all the major "historicity criteria" employed in the latest quest to establish the historicity of Jesus. The author demonstrates not only the deficiencies of these approaches but also ways to rehabilitate them using Bayes’s Theorem.

Anyone with an interest in historical methods, how historical knowledge can be justified, new applications of Bayes’s Theorem, or the study of the historical Jesus will find this book to be essential reading.

"synopsis" may belong to another edition of this title.

About the Author:

Richard C. Carrier, an independent scholar with a doctorate in ancient history from Columbia University, is the author of Why I Am Not a Christian: Four Conclusive Reasons to Reject the Faith; Not the Impossible Faith: Why Christianity Didn’t Need a Miracle to Succeed; and Sense and Goodness without God: A Defense of Metaphysical Naturalism. He has also contributed chapters to The End of Christianity, edited by John W. Loftus; Sources of the Jesus Tradition: Separating History from Myth, edited by R. Joseph Hoffmann; The Christian Delusion: Why Faith Fails, edited by John W. Loftus; and The Empty Tomb: Jesus beyond the Grave, edited by Robert Price and Jeffery Lowder.

Review:

"[C]arefully exposes what happens when sound methodology meets biblical studies. . . . Proving History is a brilliant lesson in the proper proportioning of belief to evidence. Even minimal attention to Bayesian probability theory reveals just how much of Jesus scholarship confuses ‘possibly true’ with ‘probably true.’ The only miracle Richard Carrier has left to explain is why so few appreciate that extraordinary claims require extraordinary support."
-Dr. Malcolm Murray, Author of The Atheist’s Primer

"Carrier applies his philosophical and historical training to maximum effect in outlining a case for the use of Bayes’s Theorem in evaluating biblical claims. Even biblical scholars, who usually are not mathematically inclined, may never look at the ‘historical Jesus’ the same way again."
-Dr. Hector Avalos, Professor of religious studies, Iowa State University, and author of , The End of Biblical Studies

"About this title" may belong to another edition of this title.

Top Search Results from the AbeBooks Marketplace

1.

CARRIER, RICHARD C.
Published by Penguin Random House
ISBN 10: 1616145595 ISBN 13: 9781616145590
New Quantity Available: > 20
Seller:
INDOO
(Avenel, NJ, U.S.A.)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Penguin Random House. Condition: New. Brand New. Seller Inventory # 1616145595

More Information About This Seller | Contact this Seller

Buy New
US$ 17.17
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: US$ 3.60
Within U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

2.

Carrier, Richard
Published by Prometheus Books
ISBN 10: 1616145595 ISBN 13: 9781616145590
New Hardcover Quantity Available: > 20
Seller:
Mediaoutlet12345
(Springfield, VA, U.S.A.)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Prometheus Books. Hardcover. Condition: New. 1616145595 *BRAND NEW* Ships Same Day or Next!. Seller Inventory # SWATI2132120623

More Information About This Seller | Contact this Seller

Buy New
US$ 20.17
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: US$ 3.99
Within U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

3.

Richard C. Carrier
Published by Prometheus Books, United States (2012)
ISBN 10: 1616145595 ISBN 13: 9781616145590
New Hardcover Quantity Available: 1
Seller:
Book Depository International
(London, United Kingdom)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Prometheus Books, United States, 2012. Hardback. Condition: New. Language: English . Brand New Book. This in-depth discussion of New Testament scholarship and the challenges of history as a whole proposes Bayes s Theorem, which deals with probabilities under conditions of uncertainty, as a solution to the problem of establishing reliable historical criteria. The author demonstrates that valid historical methods--not only in the study of Christian origins but in any historical study--can be described by, and reduced to, the logic of Bayes s Theorem. Conversely, he argues that any method that cannot be reduced to this theorem is invalid and should be abandoned. Writing with thoroughness and clarity, the author explains Bayes s Theorem in terms that are easily understandable to professional historians and laypeople alike, employing nothing more than well-known primary school math. He then explores precisely how the theorem can be applied to history and addresses numerous challenges to and criticisms of its use in testing or justifying the conclusions that historians make about the important persons and events of the past. The traditional and established methods of historians are analyzed using the theorem, as well as all the major historicity criteria employed in the latest quest to establish the historicity of Jesus. The author demonstrates not only the deficiencies of these approaches but also ways to rehabilitate them using Bayes s Theorem. Anyone with an interest in historical methods, how historical knowledge can be justified, new applications of Bayes s Theorem, or the study of the historical Jesus will find this book to be essential reading. Seller Inventory # AAS9781616145590

More Information About This Seller | Contact this Seller

Buy New
US$ 25.14
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: FREE
From United Kingdom to U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

4.

Richard C. Carrier
Published by Prometheus Books, United States (2012)
ISBN 10: 1616145595 ISBN 13: 9781616145590
New Hardcover Quantity Available: 1
Seller:
The Book Depository
(London, United Kingdom)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Prometheus Books, United States, 2012. Hardback. Condition: New. Language: English . Brand New Book. This in-depth discussion of New Testament scholarship and the challenges of history as a whole proposes Bayes s Theorem, which deals with probabilities under conditions of uncertainty, as a solution to the problem of establishing reliable historical criteria. The author demonstrates that valid historical methods--not only in the study of Christian origins but in any historical study--can be described by, and reduced to, the logic of Bayes s Theorem. Conversely, he argues that any method that cannot be reduced to this theorem is invalid and should be abandoned. Writing with thoroughness and clarity, the author explains Bayes s Theorem in terms that are easily understandable to professional historians and laypeople alike, employing nothing more than well-known primary school math. He then explores precisely how the theorem can be applied to history and addresses numerous challenges to and criticisms of its use in testing or justifying the conclusions that historians make about the important persons and events of the past. The traditional and established methods of historians are analyzed using the theorem, as well as all the major historicity criteria employed in the latest quest to establish the historicity of Jesus. The author demonstrates not only the deficiencies of these approaches but also ways to rehabilitate them using Bayes s Theorem. Anyone with an interest in historical methods, how historical knowledge can be justified, new applications of Bayes s Theorem, or the study of the historical Jesus will find this book to be essential reading. Seller Inventory # AAS9781616145590

More Information About This Seller | Contact this Seller

Buy New
US$ 25.94
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: FREE
From United Kingdom to U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

5.

Richard C. Carrier
ISBN 10: 1616145595 ISBN 13: 9781616145590
New Hardcover Quantity Available: 1
Seller:
Grand Eagle Retail
(Wilmington, DE, U.S.A.)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Hardcover. Condition: New. Hardcover. This is a fascinating and essential resource for anyone interested in historical methods and the search for the historical Jesus. Almost all experts agree that the Jesus of the Bible is a .Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability. 340 pages. 0.610. Seller Inventory # 9781616145590

More Information About This Seller | Contact this Seller

Buy New
US$ 26.45
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: FREE
Within U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

6.

Richard Carrier
Published by Prometheus Books
ISBN 10: 1616145595 ISBN 13: 9781616145590
New Hardcover Quantity Available: 2
Seller:
BuySomeBooks
(Las Vegas, NV, U.S.A.)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Prometheus Books. Hardcover. Condition: New. 340 pages. Dimensions: 9.0in. x 6.1in. x 1.2in.This in-depth discussion of New Testament scholarship and the challenges of history as a whole proposes Bayess Theorem, which deals with probabilities under conditions of uncertainty, as a solution to the problem of establishing reliable historical criteria. The author demonstrates that valid historical methodsnot only in the study of Christian origins but in any historical studycan be described by, and reduced to, the logic of Bayess Theorem. Conversely, he argues that any method that cannot be reduced to this theorem is invalid and should be abandoned. Writing with thoroughness and clarity, the author explains Bayess Theorem in terms that are easily understandable to professional historians and laypeople alike, employing nothing more than well-known primary school math. He then explores precisely how the theorem can be applied to history and addresses numerous challenges to and criticisms of its use in testing or justifying the conclusions that historians make about the important persons and events of the past. The traditional and established methods of historians are analyzed using the theorem, as well as all the major historicity criteria employed in the latest quest to establish the historicity of Jesus. The author demonstrates not only the deficiencies of these approaches but also ways to rehabilitate them using Bayess Theorem. Anyone with an interest in historical methods, how historical knowledge can be justified, new applications of Bayess Theorem, or the study of the historical Jesus will find this book to be essential reading. This item ships from multiple locations. Your book may arrive from Roseburg,OR, La Vergne,TN. Hardcover. Seller Inventory # 9781616145590

More Information About This Seller | Contact this Seller

Buy New
US$ 26.67
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: FREE
Within U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

7.

Richard C. Carrier
Published by Prometheus Books, United States (2012)
ISBN 10: 1616145595 ISBN 13: 9781616145590
New Hardcover Quantity Available: 10
Seller:
Book Depository hard to find
(London, United Kingdom)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Prometheus Books, United States, 2012. Hardback. Condition: New. Language: English . This book usually ship within 10-15 business days and we will endeavor to dispatch orders quicker than this where possible. Brand New Book. This in-depth discussion of New Testament scholarship and the challenges of history as a whole proposes Bayes s Theorem, which deals with probabilities under conditions of uncertainty, as a solution to the problem of establishing reliable historical criteria. The author demonstrates that valid historical methods--not only in the study of Christian origins but in any historical study--can be described by, and reduced to, the logic of Bayes s Theorem. Conversely, he argues that any method that cannot be reduced to this theorem is invalid and should be abandoned. Writing with thoroughness and clarity, the author explains Bayes s Theorem in terms that are easily understandable to professional historians and laypeople alike, employing nothing more than well-known primary school math. He then explores precisely how the theorem can be applied to history and addresses numerous challenges to and criticisms of its use in testing or justifying the conclusions that historians make about the important persons and events of the past. The traditional and established methods of historians are analyzed using the theorem, as well as all the major historicity criteria employed in the latest quest to establish the historicity of Jesus. The author demonstrates not only the deficiencies of these approaches but also ways to rehabilitate them using Bayes s Theorem. Anyone with an interest in historical methods, how historical knowledge can be justified, new applications of Bayes s Theorem, or the study of the historical Jesus will find this book to be essential reading. Seller Inventory # BZV9781616145590

More Information About This Seller | Contact this Seller

Buy New
US$ 27.42
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: FREE
From United Kingdom to U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

8.

Richard C. Carrier
Published by Prometheus Books (2012)
ISBN 10: 1616145595 ISBN 13: 9781616145590
New Hardcover Quantity Available: 1
Seller:
Rating
[?]

Book Description Prometheus Books, 2012. Condition: New. Seller Inventory # TH9781616145590

More Information About This Seller | Contact this Seller

Buy New
US$ 27.50
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: US$ 3.65
From Germany to U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

9.

Richard Carrier
Published by Prometheus Books (2012)
ISBN 10: 1616145595 ISBN 13: 9781616145590
New Hardcover Quantity Available: 1
Seller:
Ergodebooks
(RICHMOND, TX, U.S.A.)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Prometheus Books, 2012. Hardcover. Condition: New. Seller Inventory # DADAX1616145595

More Information About This Seller | Contact this Seller

Buy New
US$ 28.42
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: US$ 4.99
Within U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

10.

Carrier, Richard
Published by Prometheus Books
ISBN 10: 1616145595 ISBN 13: 9781616145590
New Hardcover Quantity Available: 2
Seller:
Russell Books
(Victoria, BC, Canada)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Prometheus Books. Hardcover. Condition: New. 1616145595 Special order direct from the distributor. Seller Inventory # ING9781616145590

More Information About This Seller | Contact this Seller

Buy New
US$ 28.00
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: US$ 7.00
From Canada to U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

There are more copies of this book

View all search results for this book