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Traite du calcul conjectural, ou l'art de raisonner sur les choses futures et inconnues, par Seb.-Ant.Parisot.

PARISOT, Sebastien-Antoine

Published by Bernard, Paris, 1810
From B & L Rootenberg Rare Books, ABAA (Sherman Oaks, CA, U.S.A.)

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Original paste paper wrappers, uncut copy, edges uneven in some parts, and a bit ragged, very faint waterstains on top fore edge of preliminaries, some soiling and spotting , covers are worn. First and only edition of this rare work on mathematics and probability. The author treats the probability theories of Bernoulli, de Moivre, Montmart, Fermat, Pascal, Ozanam, and others, detailing their strengths and errors. Based upon the previously written accounts of these authors, Parisot develops his own theories of probability with specific applications. The first part treats pure mathematics and game theory, with applications to cards, tokens, tickets and random numbers. The second part deals with other games of chance, including roulette, pass-ten, the lottery and the martingale, a betting strategy which is a model of a fair game where no knowledge of past events can help to predict future winnings.In the third part he applies the principles of his probability theories to various issues of political economy and commercial transactions such as loans, mortality rates, and annuities. He includes interesting statistics on population. The final part contains a broader discussion on the solution to curious and recreational issues, including an analysis of five problems introduced by Huygens. The book concludes with an essay on systematic physics and metaphysics, in which Parisot examines the positions of Descartes and Newton on the issues of light and matter in the universe.Little is known of this author. He wrote one other book on the lottery (L'art de conjecturer a la loterie, 1801). Bookseller Inventory # 14241

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Bibliographic Details

Title: Traite du calcul conjectural, ou l'art de ...

Publisher: Bernard, Paris

Publication Date: 1810


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