It presents a comprehensive and organized collection of the evidence contradicting market efficiency. Sets forth and synthesizes a paradigm shift in financial economics, exploring rational finance, behavioral finance, and the new finance. This book provides revolutionary and controversial ideas lending to the acceptance of the notion that capital markets are inefficient. Portfolio Managers, Financial Analysts, and Security Analysts.
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In this Third Edition, Robert Haugen focuses on the evidence, causes, and history of overreactive pricing in the stock market. He argues that, unlike the other social sciences, economic models aggregate from the assumed behaviors of individuals to predictions about market pricing. These models fail to capture the complexity of human interaction. In addition, Haugen argues that each interaction is entirely unique. The complexity and the uniqueness of interactions make it impossible to generalize from the preferences of individuals to meaningful conclusions about the structure and behavior of market prices. The logical conclusion: Both rational and behavioral economics should be reconsidered.
Bob Haugen is Professor Emeritus at the University of California, Irvine. He serves as Managing Partner to Haugen Custom Financial Systems, which licenses portfolio management software to pension funds, endowments, and institutional and high-net-worth money managers.
For further study on the author's unique approach to stock market analysis, read the entire Bob Hougen series, The Inefficient Stock Market, What Pays Off and Why, and Beast on Wall Street.
Visit www.prenhall.com/haugen for additional resources. Or go to www.newfinance.com.
This work makes the case for an inefficient stock market, where the complexity and uniqueness of investor interactions has important market pricing implications.
The efficient market's paradigm is at the unlikely extreme end of a spectrum of possible states. As such, the burden of proof falls on its advocates. It is their burden to deflect the stones and arrows flung at the paradigm by the nonbelievers. It is their burden to reveal the inaccuracies of those who present evidence contending that the paradigm doesn't square with the facts.
Moreover, the case of market efficiency has been made many times by others. In fairness to the growing number of advocates for the other side, I present here, and in the two other books of this trilogy, Beast on Wall Street: How Stock Volatility Devours Our Wealth and The Inefficient Stock Market: What Pays Off and Why, a comprehensive and organized collection of the evidence and the arguments that constitute a strong and persuasive case for a complex and, at times, nearly chaotic stock market that overreacts to most things—in particular, to past records of success and failure on the part of business firms. It is a market that prices with great imprecision, with signals coming from the prices of other stocks as its dominant driver.
In the course of this work, I shall make a case for the following assertions:
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