The Rules of Risk: A Guide for Investors

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9780471401636: The Rules of Risk: A Guide for Investors
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An innovative framework to understanding risk management
The Rules of Risk takes the reader from the present to the future of risk management. Combining a novel approach to risk management with the tools of mathematics, finance, computer science, and an understanding of capital markets, authors Dembo and Freeman present their framework of a new risk paradigm that peers into the risk-taking of tomorrow to enhance our ability to make choices and manage risk. The implications of their visionary work are far-reaching, affecting the future of investing, the financial institution, the economy, and beyond. The Rules of Risk provides investors not only with an applied vision of the future of risk, but with a knowledge of what risk management is and the thinking behind it.

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From the Publisher:

A new paradigm for predicting the future of risk. In this ground-breaking book, Ron Dembo and Andrew Freeman have built a framework for a new risk paradigm that peers into the risk-taking of tomorrow. The innovative method described in the book reduces the complexity of risk to its base elements, and takes into account the individual's circumstances, tolerances, and the unique reasoning behind his or her choice-making.

From the Inside Flap:

In high-stakes investing and business, success or failure largely depends on how well you play the game of risk-a game in which the rules of competition are constantly being rewritten. Strategies that proved effective in the past are no longer enough to win today. The key to success is not to rely on yesterday's news, but to peer into the future and ask what could happen tomorrow. Presenting a bold new way of thinking about risk, in Seeing Tomorrow Ron Dembo and Andrew Freeman offer a dynamic framework designed to enhance our ability to make important decisions, and consequently change how we manage our investments. By incorporating investors' individual circumstances and tolerances-as well as the unique reasoning behind their decision making-this innovative approach captures much more of how we actually think about risk. From the basic building blocks required for forward-looking risk management, Dembo and Freeman define and explore the roles and significance of such fundamentals as time horizons, risk measures, benchmarks, and scenarios. Once the foundation is laid, these elements are used to construct a solid architecture for risk management and risk-adjusted analysis that is not only general enough to be able to handle a multitude of risks, but also able to present many different measures of risk. With clear-cut explanations and intriguing real-world examples, Seeing Tomorrow leads you step by step through the authors' ground-breaking risk rules. These include: choosing an appropriate time horizon, selecting scenarios, computing Value at Risk (VAR), assessing both the upside and downside of a potential deal, calculating Regret, and compiling a reliable Regret matrix. By combining Regret, Upside, and a measure of our tolerance for risk, the authors demonstrate how these components create a powerful new way of approaching decisions. They offer guidance on very specific real life problems-such as buying a house or suing someone-as well as on broad matters of strategy and investing. Written by two leading authorities in the field, Seeing Tomorrow is a milestone addition to risk literature that will dramatically alter the way you view, identify, and manage risk. It is must reading for investors and decision makers alike.

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Other Popular Editions of the Same Title

9780471247364: Seeing Tomorrow: Rewriting the Rules of Risk

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ISBN 10:  0471247367 ISBN 13:  9780471247364
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, 1998
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