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Synopsis
This book concentrates on the accuracy of risk modelling rather than the management of risk analysis. It provides a comprehensive guide to modelling of uncertainty using spreadsheets and Monte Carlo software on standard PCs. It includes sufficient probability and statistics theory and provides the basic information necessary for a simple risk analysis model.
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From the Publisher
Based entirely on proven techniques, this superb guide is designed for those who do computer modelling. Stressing the accuracy of risk modelling rather than the management of risk analysis, it provides excellent guidelines for modelling uncertainty using spreadsheets and Monte Carlo software. Features sufficient probability and statistics theory for readers to be confident of the correctness of the methods and understand when and how the theories can be used. Includes scores of graphs, charts, practical exercises and model solutions.
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Quantitative Risk Analysis: A Guide to Monte Carlo Simulation Modelling
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