Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases - Softcover

Softcover

ISBN 10: 0521284147 ISBN 13: 9780521284141

Publisher: Cambridge University Press, 1982

Synopsis

The thirty five chapters in this book describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce, not only in laboratory experiments but in important social, medical, and political situations as well. Individual chapters discuss the representativeness and availability heuristics, problems in judging covariation and control, overconfidence, multistage inference, social perception, medical diagnosis, risk perception, and methods for correcting and improving judgments under uncertainty. About half of the chapters are edited versions of classic articles; the remaining chapters are newly written for this book. Most review multiple studies or entire subareas of research and application rather than describing single experimental studies. This book will be useful to a wide range of students and researchers, as well as to decision makers seeking to gain insight into their judgments and to improve them.

About this title

Book Description

Thirty-five chapters describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce, not only in laboratory experiments, but in important social, medical, and political situations as well. Most review multiple studies or entire subareas rather than describing single experimental studies.

From the Publisher

Daniel Kahneman is co-winner of the 2002 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences. The award was bestowed in recognition of the influential research conducted by Kahneman and his long-time collaborator, the late Amos Tversky, on the psychology of human judgment and decision-making. According to a recent article published in the journal Psychological Science, the research program initiated by Kahneman and Tversky is considered psychology’s "leading intellectual export to the wider academic world." Current scholarship and research in medicine, law, public policy, international relations, and economics has been profoundly shaped by their insights into human rationality.

Edition details

• Publisher: Cambridge University Press
• Publication date: 1982
• ISBN 10: 0521284147
• ISBN 13: 9780521284141
• Binding: Paperback
• Language: English
• Edition number: 1
• Number of pages: 544
• Editor: Kahneman Daniel, Slovic Paul, Tversky Amos