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Interpreting Probability: Controversies and Developments in the Early Twentieth Century (Cambridge Studies in Probability, Induction and Decision Theory) - Hardcover
Synopsis
This book is a study of the concept of probability as it has been used and applied across a number of scientific disciplines from genetics to geophysics. Probability has a dual aspect: sometimes it is a numerical ratio; sometimes, in the Bayesian interpretation, a degree of belief. David Howie examines probabilistic theories of scientific knowledge, and asks how, despite being adopted by many scientists and statisticians in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, Bayesianism was discredited as a theory of scientific inference during the 1920s and 1930s. Through a close examination of a dispute between two British scientists, the author argues that a choice between the two interpretations of probability is not forced by pure logic, or the mathematics of the situation, but depends on the experiences and aims of the individuals involved, and their views of the correct form of scientific inquiry.
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Book Description
Probability can be a numerical ratio; or, in the Bayesian sense, a degree of belief.This book is about these two types of probability and investigates how Bayesianism was discredited during the 1920s and 1930s. By examining a dispute between two Brisith scientists, the author argues that a choice between the two interpretations depends on the experiences of the individuals involved.The book should be of interest to scholars interested in statistics and probability theories and to general readers with an interest in the history, sociology and philosophy of science.
Review
"...this is a timely and valuable contribution to our knowledge o the period and its great figures. There is a wealth of incidental, but always relevant and often fascinating, historical detail. Another distinctive feature of his book is that, thought it concerns a highly technical subject matter, his own discussion is anything but technical in any overtly formal sense: in fact, there are hardly any formulas in the book. Yet he succeeds in conveying, in words, the technical ideas both precisely and clearly, Its thoroughness, combined with an assured informality and lightness of touch, make the book an enlightening and entertaining read." -Notre Dame Philosophical Reviews 02/02/2003
"A very valuable reference for researchers and general readers in probability, statistics, and the history and philosophy of science. Recommended." Choice
"excellent... This is a unique text in the current literature which incorporates many original research contributions by Mehran Kardar and his collaborators. - Uwe C. Tauber, Mathematical Reviews Clippings
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Interpreting Probability: Controversies and Developments in the Early Twentieth Century (Cambridge Studies in Probability, Induction and Decision Theory)
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Cambridge University Press, 2002
ISBN 10: 0521812518
ISBN 13: 9780521812511
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Interpreting Probability: Controversies and Developments in the Early Twentieth Century (Cambridge Studies in Probability, Induction and Decision Theory)
Published by
Cambridge University Press, 2002
ISBN 10: 0521812518
ISBN 13: 9780521812511
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Interpreting Probability: Controversies and Developments in the Early Twentieth Century.
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Cambridge, etc.: Cambridge University Press, 2002., 2002
ISBN 10: 0521812518
ISBN 13: 9780521812511
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Hardcover
First Edition
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Hardcover. Condition: Near Fine. Dust Jacket Condition: Near Fine. 1st Edition. xi, 262 pp. Original cloth. Near Fine, in near fine dust jacket. Cambridge Studies in Probability, Induction, and Decision Theory. 'This book is a study of the concept of probability as it has been used and applied across a number of scientific disciplines from genetics to geophysics. Probability has a dual aspect: sometimes it is a numerical ratio; sometimes, in the Bayesian interpretation, a degree of belief. David Howie examines probabilistic theories of scientific knowledge, and asks how, despite being adopted by many scientists and statisticians in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, Bayesianism was discredited as a theory of scientific inference during the 1920s and 1930s. Through a close examination of a dispute between two British scientists, the author argues that a choice between the two interpretations of probability is not forced by pure logic, or the mathematics of the situation, but depends on the experiences and aims of the individuals involved, and their views of the correct form of scientific inquiry' (Cambridge University Press Web site). Contents: Acknowledgements; 1. Introduction; 2. Probability up to the twentieth century; 3. R. A. Fisher and statistical probability; 4. Harold Jeffreys and inverse probability; 5. The Fisher-Jeffreys exchange, 19321934; 6. Probability during the 1930s; 7. Epilogue and conclusions; Appendices; Bibliography; Index. This book 'is a timely and valuable contribution to our knowledge of the period and its great figures. There is a wealth of incidental, but always relevant and often fascinating, historical detail. Another distinctive feature of his book is that, thought it concerns a highly technical subject matter, his own discussion is anything but technical in any overtly formal sense: in fact, there are hardly any formulas in the book. Yet he succeeds in conveying, in words, the technical ideas both precisely and clearly, Its thoroughness, combined with an assured informality and lightness of touch, make the book an enlightening and entertaining read' (Notre Dame Philosophical Reviews 02/02/2003). In print in paperback only at US$53.00. Seller Inventory # 19805
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Interpreting Probability: Controversies and Developments in the Early Twentieth Century (Cambridge Studies in Probability, Induction and Decision Theory)
Published by
Cambridge University Press, 2002
ISBN 10: 0521812518
ISBN 13: 9780521812511
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Interpreting Probability: Controversies and Developments in the Early Twentieth Century (Cambridge Studies in Probability, Induction and Decision Theory)
Published by
Cambridge University Press, 2002
ISBN 10: 0521812518
ISBN 13: 9780521812511
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Interpreting Probability: Controversies and Developments in the Early Twentieth Century (Cambridge Studies in Probability, Induction and Decision Theory)
Published by
Cambridge University Press, 2002
ISBN 10: 0521812518
ISBN 13: 9780521812511
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Interpreting Probability: Controversies and Developments in the Early Twentieth Century (Cambridge Studies in Probability, Induction and Decision Theory)
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Cambridge University Press, 2002
ISBN 10: 0521812518
ISBN 13: 9780521812511
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Interpreting Probability: Controversies and Developments in the Early Twentieth Century (Cambridge Studies in Probability, Induction and Decision Theory)
Published by
Cambridge University Press, 2002
ISBN 10: 0521812518
ISBN 13: 9780521812511
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Interpreting Probability (Hardcover)
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Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2002
ISBN 10: 0521812518
ISBN 13: 9780521812511
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Hardcover. Condition: new. Hardcover. The term probability can be used in two main senses. In the frequency interpretation it is a limiting ratio in a sequence of repeatable events. In the Bayesian view, probability is a mental construct representing uncertainty. This book is about these two types of probability and investigates how, despite being adopted by scientists and statisticians in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, Bayesianism was discredited as a theory of scientific inference during the 1920s and 1930s. Through the examination of a dispute between two British scientists, the author argues that a choice between the two interpretations is not forced by pure logic or the mathematics of the situation, but depends on the experiences and aims of the individuals involved. The book should be of interest to students and scientists interested in statistics and probability theories and to general readers with an interest in the history, sociology and philosophy of science. This book investigates how Bayesianism as one theory of probability was discredited during the 1920s and 1930s by two British scientists and shows how the choice of a certain interpretation of probability depends on the experiences of the individuals involved. Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability. Seller Inventory # 9780521812511
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Interpreting Probability: Controversies and Developments in the Early Twentieth Century (Cambridge Studies in Probability, Induction and Decision Theory)
Published by
Cambridge University Press, 2002
ISBN 10: 0521812518
ISBN 13: 9780521812511
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