Items related to The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability...

The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability before Pascal - Softcover

  • 4.19 out of 5 stars
    57 ratings by Goodreads
 
9780801871092: The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability before Pascal

Synopsis

How did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates.

The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.

"synopsis" may belong to another edition of this title.

About the Author

James Franklin is a professor in the School of Mathematics and Statistics at the University of New South Wales.

Review

A remarkable book. Mr. Franklin writes clearly and exhibits a wry wit. But he also ranges knowledgeably across many disciplines and over many centuries.

(Wall Street Journal)

The Science of Conjecture opens an old chest of human attempts to draw order from havoc and wipes clean the rust from some cast-off classical tools that can now be reused to help build a framework for the unpredictable future.

(Science)

Franklin's style is clear and fluent, with an occasional sly Gibbonian aside to make the reader chuckle.

(New Criterion)

An admirably accessible study written in a crisp prose. It presents the reader with anarching historical perspective throughout many a century of human action.

(Giora Hon Centaurus)

Franklin gives a magisterial account of matters as diverse as the Talmud, Justinian's Digest, torture, witch hunts, Tudor treason trials, ancient and medieval astronomy and physics, humanist historiography, scholastic philosophy, speculations in public debt, and 17th century mathematics. His treatment of medieval law is among the best I have ever read.

(International Journal of Evidence and Proof)

Franklin's book is magnificent... Think of [it] as a non-fiction equivalent of Tolstoy's War and Peace.

(Peter Tillers The Jurist)

The Science of Conjecture is a masterly work, beautifully written, and based on encyclopaedic research... It is simply a tour de force that is unlikely to be surpassed for many a year.

(Barry Miller The Thomist)

Statistics teachers who like to sprinkle a little history and philosophy into their classes will find much here to delight and challenge them... This is a serious and scholarly work that I expect often will inform my teaching.

(Richard J. Cleary Journal of the American Statistical Association)

[This book has given me] sheer enjoyment in its density of strange information, in the wit and clarity if its writing, and in the vigour of its argumentation. I recommend it unreservedly to all interested in its subject.

(Oliver Mayo Australian and New Zealand Journal of Statistics)

This is the intellectual book of the year, and it ought to become one of the great classics of intellectual history.

(Scott Campbell Interdisciplinary Science Reviews)

"About this title" may belong to another edition of this title.

  • PublisherJohns Hopkins University Press
  • Publication date2002
  • ISBN 10 0801871093
  • ISBN 13 9780801871092
  • BindingPaperback
  • LanguageEnglish
  • Number of pages520
  • Rating
    • 4.19 out of 5 stars
      57 ratings by Goodreads

Buy Used

Condition: Very Good
Used book that is in excellent...
View this item

FREE shipping within U.S.A.

Destination, rates & speeds

Buy New

View this item

US$ 13.35 shipping from United Kingdom to U.S.A.

Destination, rates & speeds

Other Popular Editions of the Same Title

Search results for The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability...

Stock Image

Franklin, James
Published by Johns Hopkins University Press, 2002
ISBN 10: 0801871093 ISBN 13: 9780801871092
Used Softcover

Seller: Better World Books, Mishawaka, IN, U.S.A.

Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars 5-star rating, Learn more about seller ratings

Condition: Very Good. Used book that is in excellent condition. May show signs of wear or have minor defects. Seller Inventory # 7747206-6

Contact seller

Buy Used

US$ 25.00
Convert currency
Shipping: FREE
Within U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds

Quantity: 1 available

Add to basket

Stock Image

Franklin, James
Published by Johns Hopkins University Press, 2002
ISBN 10: 0801871093 ISBN 13: 9780801871092
Used Paperback

Seller: HPB-Red, Dallas, TX, U.S.A.

Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars 5-star rating, Learn more about seller ratings

Paperback. Condition: Acceptable. Connecting readers with great books since 1972. Used textbooks may not include companion materials such as access codes, etc. May have condition issues including wear and notes/highlighting. We ship orders daily and Customer Service is our top priority! Seller Inventory # S_421003492

Contact seller

Buy Used

US$ 23.71
Convert currency
Shipping: US$ 3.75
Within U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds

Quantity: 1 available

Add to basket

Stock Image

Franklin, James
Published by Johns Hopkins University Press, 2002
ISBN 10: 0801871093 ISBN 13: 9780801871092
Used Paperback

Seller: HPB-Red, Dallas, TX, U.S.A.

Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars 5-star rating, Learn more about seller ratings

Paperback. Condition: Good. Connecting readers with great books since 1972! Used textbooks may not include companion materials such as access codes, etc. May have some wear or writing/highlighting. We ship orders daily and Customer Service is our top priority! Seller Inventory # S_422730129

Contact seller

Buy Used

US$ 23.71
Convert currency
Shipping: US$ 3.75
Within U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds

Quantity: 1 available

Add to basket

Stock Image

Franklin, James
Published by Johns Hopkins University Press, 2002
ISBN 10: 0801871093 ISBN 13: 9780801871092
Used paperback

Seller: Magers and Quinn Booksellers, Minneapolis, MN, U.S.A.

Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars 5-star rating, Learn more about seller ratings

paperback. Condition: Very Good. May have light to moderate shelf wear and/or a remainder mark. Complete. Clean pages. Seller Inventory # 1463641

Contact seller

Buy Used

US$ 23.71
Convert currency
Shipping: US$ 3.99
Within U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds

Quantity: 1 available

Add to basket

Stock Image

Franklin, James
Published by Johns Hopkins University Press, 2002
ISBN 10: 0801871093 ISBN 13: 9780801871092
Used paperback

Seller: Pink Casa Antiques, Frankfort, KY, U.S.A.

Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars 5-star rating, Learn more about seller ratings

paperback. Condition: Very Good. full number line, tight, uncreased spine, pages clear and bright, shelf and edge wear, corners bumped, packaged in cardboard box for shipment, tracking on U.S. orders. Seller Inventory # 101563

Contact seller

Buy Used

US$ 22.95
Convert currency
Shipping: US$ 4.99
Within U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds

Quantity: 1 available

Add to basket

Stock Image

Franklin, James
ISBN 10: 0801871093 ISBN 13: 9780801871092
Used Soft cover

Seller: Montana Book Company, Fond du Lac, WI, U.S.A.

Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars 5-star rating, Learn more about seller ratings

Soft cover. Condition: Very Good Plus. 497 pp. Tightly bound. Spine not compromised. Text is free of markings. No ownership markings. Seller Inventory # 083018

Contact seller

Buy Used

US$ 23.99
Convert currency
Shipping: US$ 3.98
Within U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds

Quantity: 1 available

Add to basket

Stock Image

Franklin, James
Published by Johns Hopkins University Press, 2002
ISBN 10: 0801871093 ISBN 13: 9780801871092
Used Paperback

Seller: Pink Casa Antiques, Frankfort, KY, U.S.A.

Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars 5-star rating, Learn more about seller ratings

Paperback. Condition: Very Good. tight, uncreased spine, pages clear and bright, shelf and edge wear, corners bumped, packaged in cardboard box for shipment, tracking on U.S. orders. Seller Inventory # 91485

Contact seller

Buy Used

US$ 25.48
Convert currency
Shipping: US$ 4.99
Within U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds

Quantity: 1 available

Add to basket

Seller Image

Franklin, James
ISBN 10: 0801871093 ISBN 13: 9780801871092
Used Paperback

Seller: Midway Book Store (ABAA), St. Paul, MN, U.S.A.

Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars 5-star rating, Learn more about seller ratings

Paperback. Condition: Near Fine. 23.5 x 15.5 cm.xiii 497pp. Appendix, end notes, index. Seller Inventory # 83300

Contact seller

Buy Used

US$ 25.00
Convert currency
Shipping: US$ 7.00
Within U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds

Quantity: 1 available

Add to basket

Seller Image

Franklin, James
Published by Johns Hopkins University Press, 2001
ISBN 10: 0801871093 ISBN 13: 9780801871092
Used Paperback

Seller: Lake Country Books and More, Excelsior, MN, U.S.A.

Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars 5-star rating, Learn more about seller ratings

Paperback. Condition: Near Fine. Dust Jacket Condition: None as issued. Excellent paperback copy, clean, solid with unmarked text. Cover has mild surface and edge wear. Binding is tight and square; no creases to spine or cover. We are unable to ship oversize books and multi-volume sets internationally. Seller Inventory # IG72408250005

Contact seller

Buy Used

US$ 34.92
Convert currency
Shipping: US$ 6.75
Within U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds

Quantity: 1 available

Add to basket

Stock Image

Franklin, James
ISBN 10: 0801871093 ISBN 13: 9780801871092
Used Paperback First Edition

Seller: M & M Books, ATHENS, GA, U.S.A.

Seller rating 4 out of 5 stars 4-star rating, Learn more about seller ratings

Paperback. Condition: As New. No Jacket. 1st Edition. tiny signature of previous owner on f. e. p. Seller Inventory # 148210

Contact seller

Buy Used

US$ 45.00
Convert currency
Shipping: US$ 5.00
Within U.S.A.
Destination, rates & speeds

Quantity: 1 available

Add to basket

There are 2 more copies of this book

View all search results for this book