The purpose of this book is to discuss the relevance of deductive modeling to obtaining a better understanding of (1) why the criminal justice system operates the way it does and (2) how it can be made to operate more effectively. It is hoped that readers of this book will find the deductive modeling approaches herein to be useful for generating insights, hypotheses, and explanations regarding the criminal justice system. Such approaches tend to force one to clarify assumptions, goals, alternative means, payoffs from the alternative means, contingent probabilities, and other elements essential to understanding more fully the basic simplicities and subtle complexities of the criminal justice process. The book will be particularly successful if it prods the minds of readers into thinking of other examples to which they and others can apply these perspectives, especially for obtaining insights into why criminal justice decisions happen the way they do and how such decisions can be made more effective in achieving given goals. [From the Introduction]
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