This report suggests strategies for managing U.S.-Russian relations in light of the current highly fluid situation within the top echelons of the Yeltsin government and the uncertainties surrounding Yeltsin's health.
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This report examines the role of key institutions that influence Russian foreign and security policy decisionmaking under President Yeltsin. It argues that during his first term Yeltsin failed to set up a coherent and effective decisionmaking process on foreign and security policy. The Security Council was supposed to be the chief mechanism for integrating and coordinating security policy. But it failed to perform this function. As a result, Russian policy was often marked by improvisation and ad hocresponses. Since early 1996--and especially since his re-election in July--Yeltsin has taken several measures designed to rectify these weaknesses in policy decisionmaking. However, it is unclear how effective they will be.This report was written as part of a larger project on "Russia's Strategic Objectives and Options in Europe: Implications for U.S. Policy," sponsored by the Office of Russian, Ukrainian and Eurasian Affairs, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy. It was carried out under the auspices of the International Security and Defense Policy Center, within RAND's National Defense Research Institute (NDRI), a federally funded research and development center sponsored by the Office of the Secretary of Defense, the Joint Staff, and the defense agencies.The report should be of interest to government officials and outside specialists dealing with Russian and Eurasian affairs. This report considers information available through mid March 1997.
F. STEPHEN LARRABEE (Ph.D., Political Science, Columbia University) is a Senior Staff Member at RAND, Washington, D.C.
Dr. THEODORE KARASIK (Ph.D., History, University of California, Los Angeles) is a resident consultant at RAND. Research interests include trends in the former Soviet Union and the Middle East; Russian criminal groupings, social structure, and their placement in globaleconomy; and urban combat in dense population centers.
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