Items related to Futures Research Methodology, v2.0
Synopsis
Comprehensive and internationally peer-reviewed handbook on tools and methods for forecasting and analysis of global change. Each chapter in this series gives an executive overview of each method's history, description, primary and alternative usages, strengths and weaknesses, use in combination with other methods, and speculation about future usage. Some also contain appendixes with applications and sources for further information.
Over half of the 25 methods and series of methods presented were written by the inventor of the method or by a significant contributor to its evolution.
All chapters are presnted in an MsWord (.doc) version and a PDF version.
Content: 1.Introduction to the Futures Research Methods Series; 2. Environmental Scanning; 3. The Delphi Method; 4. The Futures Wheel; 5. Trend Impact Analysis; 6. Cross-Impact Analysis; 7. Structural Analysis; 8. The Systems Perspectives; 9. Decision Modeling; 10. Statistical Modeling; 11. Technology Sequence Analysis; 12. Relevance Trees and Morphological Analysis; 13. Scenarios; 13.5 Interactive Scenarios; 14. Participatory Methods; 15. Simulation and Games; 16. Genius Forecasting, Vision, and Intuition; 17. Normative Forecasting; 18. S&T Road Mapping; 19. Field Anomaly Relaxation (FAR); 20. Text Mining for Technology Foresight; 21. Agent Modeling (demo software); 22. State of the Future Index (SOFI) Method; 23. SOFI System; 24. The Multiple Perspective Concept; 25. A Toolbox for Scenario Planning; 26. Causal Layered Analysis; 27 Integration, Comparisons, and Frontiers of Futures Research Methods
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About the Author
JEROME CLAYTON GLENN is Executive Director of the American Council/United Nations University and Director of the Millennium Project on Global Futures Research; he works for over 30 years in futures research and consultants and lectures internationally for governments, international organizations, and private industry in Science & Technology Policy, Economics, Education, Defense, Space, and Forecasting Methodology. PUBLICATIONS: author of Future Mind: Merging the Mystical and the Technological in the 21st Century (1989 & 1994), Linking the Future: Findhorn, Auroville, Arcosanti (1979), and co-author of Space Trek: The Endless Migration (1978 & 1979); co-author and editor of the "State of the Future" annual reports, and the "Futures Research Methodology"; over 70 future-oriented articles in such as the Nikkei, ADWEEK, International Tribune, LEADERS, New York Times, Technological Forecasting, Futures Research Quarterly, The Futurist. MISC.: Invented "Futures Wheel" f! orecasting technique and Futuristic Curriculum Development; instrumental in SALT II section that banned first space weapon (Soviet FOBS); named by Saturday Review as among the most unusually gifted leaders of America for his pioneering work in Tropical Medicine, Future-Oriented Education, and Participatory Decision Making Systems in 1974; instrumental in naming first space shuttle the "Enterprise;" and is a leading boomerang stunt man.
THEODORE JAY GORDON is a futurist and management consultant. He is an expert in several high technology fields, a graduate engineer, a specialist in planning and policy analysis, and an entrepreneur. His current professional activities include consulting on strategy for several major corporations, lecturing, serving as Senior Fellow of the Millennium Project of the American Council for the United Nations University, and participating on the corporate boards of Apollo Genetics, the Institute for Global Ethics, Registry Databases, and The Futures Group, the consulting firm he formed over twenty years ago. Mr. Gordon has been in charge of hundreds of studies for US and government agencies as well as insurance, computer, banking, communications, advertising, automobile, pharmaceutical and chemical companies. His principal clients have included the US Environmental Protection Agency (designing "look-out" methodologies with the Science Advisory Board), General Electric, Motorola, ! Ford Motor Company, Ryder Truck Rental, DowBrands, The American Council of Life Insurance, and many other major corporations, trade associations and US government agencies. His specialties in this work have involved technological innovation and forecasting, the design of analysis methodologies, market segmentation, and the development of strategies- particularly strategies that promise to be productive in conditions of high uncertainty. PUBLICATIONS: author of many client reports, technical articles that have appeared in the open literature, and five books dealing with topics associated with the future, space, and scientific and technological developments and issues. He is co-author and co-editor of the annual "State of the Future" reports and "Futures Research Methodology"; his most recent technical articles have been in the field of Chaos (1994) and forecasting methodology (Annals of Social Science, 1992); author of the Macmillan encyclopedia article on the future of scien! ce and technology (1995). He is currently on the editorial board of several journals including Technological Forecasting and Social Change.
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- PublisherAmerican Council for the UNU
- Publication date2003
- ISBN 10 097220511X
- ISBN 13 9780972205115
- BindingCD-ROM
- LanguageEnglish
- Number of pages700
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