How do you prepare for the future? From your choice of words in a conversation, to deciding where to invest, to choosing strategies at work, you are making choices now that affect your results and your life in both the immediate and the distant future. Have you examined the information and the process you use in those decisions? Humans have always been fascinated with the future. But most of our thinking is still based on the assumption that what worked yesterday will work tomorrow. The Prediction Trap explains why humans base so much of their thinking on a selectively remembered past. It details why and how to most effectively bring others into your thinking - especially people who don't think like you. It provides practical approaches for analysing and preparing for the future. And it outlines four major problems facing Western society - problems that you can't afford to ignore. More than any other time in the past, the choices we make today affect our future, and the future of our organizations and our societies.
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Randy Park trained as a scientist and holds a Bachelor s degree in Physics and a Master s in Engineering Physics. From 1985 to 2000 he provided consulting, design, and training to dozens of world leading technology companies. While working with these organizations Randy observed that almost everyone, even the smartest people, have moments when they don t think very well. Randy realized that many problems arise from a lack of understanding of our thinking processes. This was the impetus for the development of Thinking for Results. Randy is a Professional level member of the Canadian Association of Professional Speakers. In his keynote presentations and workshops, Randy stimulates his audiences to think more strategically by encouraging them to think about their thinking. From day to day decision making, problem solving, and communications to preparation for the long term, understanding how we think improves the decision making process. Randy s first book Thinking for Results Success Strategies was first printed in 2003 and is focused on thinking from an individual s point of view. In recent years his work has evolved to include enhancing group thinking and looking to the future. As you will see from this book, Randy believes that not enough attention is being paid to how we will work and live together in the future. Randy is an accomplished sailor, having competed in sailing races (including two world championships) since he was twelve. He has also sailed from Hawaii to Vancouver, Canada. The use of strategy and effective thinking is crucial in sailing, and Randy draws on his sailing experience in his presentations and in his books. Randy now makes his home in Toronto, Canada. To view articles, learn more about Randy, or engage him for your event, visit the Thinking for Results web site.
In government, the future ends with the next election; in business, with the next quarter. Randy Park's stimulating book is a must-read for anyone who wants to fight the temptation to sacrifice long-term planning for short-term gratification. The bonus is that he tells you how to hedge your prediction bets. --Eric Reguly, European Business Correspondent, The Globe and Mail, Hyman Solomon Award Winner
The most unique part of the book was on thinking together; this is material that is quite different from anything else out there. --Anita McGahan, Professor of Strategic Management, Rotman School of Managment
The Parrot Principle discussed in The Prediction Trap is especially demonic in the world of economics, and as an economist, I can attest that it s an easy trap to fall into. We economists talk so freely about all kinds of things, and if they are said often enough they can become truisms all without qualifications or caveats. --Todd Hirsch, Senior Economist, ATB Financial
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Soft cover. Condition: Very Good. Very slight edgewear and faint creasing of spine and covers, otherwise a fine clean tight and bright copy - How do you prepare for the future? From your choice of words in a conversation, to deciding where to invest, to choosing strategies at work, you are making choices now that affect your results and your life in both the immediate and the distant future. Have you examined the information and the process you use in those decisions? Humans have always been fascinated with the future. But most of our thinking is still based on the assumption that what worked yesterday will work tomorrow. The Prediction Trap explains why humans base so much of their thinking on a selectively remembered past. It details why and how to most effectively bring others into your thinking - especially people who don't think like you. It provides practical approaches for analysing and preparing for the future. And it outlines four major problems facing Western society - problems that you can't afford to ignore. More than any other time in the past, the choices we make today affect our future, and the future of our organizations and our societies. Seller Inventory # NS15870
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