Statistical Inference as Severe Testing: How to Get Beyond the Statistics Wars - Softcover

Mayo, Deborah G.

Softcover

ISBN 10: 1107664640 ISBN 13: 9781107664647

Publisher: Cambridge University Press, 2018

Synopsis

Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.

About this title

Book Description

This eye-opener illuminates controversies surrounding widely used statistical methods across the physical, social, and biological sciences. New solutions to philosophical problems of induction, falsification, science vs. pseudoscience are put to work to let statisticians and reproducibility researchers get beyond hardened conceptual disagreements.

About the Author

Deborah G. Mayo is Professor Emerita in the Department of Philosophy at Virginia Tech. Author of Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge (1996), she won the 1998 Lakatos Prize for an outstanding contribution to philosophy of science. She directed the NEH Summer Seminar (1999) on Philosophy of Experimental Inference. She co-founded, with G. W. Chatfield, the Fund for Experimental Reasoning, Reliability and Objectivity and Rationality (E.R.R.O.R) in 2006 which has co-sponsored 10 conferences, workshops and distinguished lecture series. She's a visiting professor at the London School of Economics and Political Science, Centre for the Philosophy of Natural and Social Science (CPNSS) (2007-present).

Edition details

• Publisher: Cambridge University Press
• Publication date: 2018
• ISBN 10: 1107664640
• ISBN 13: 9781107664647
• Binding: Paperback
• Language: English
• Edition number: 1
• Number of pages: 500