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9781470071738: The United States and China in Power Transition
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This analysis discusses the nature of U.S.-China relations in the context of an ongoing power transition between these two great powers, the rise of China and its impact, China’s tortuous experience during its transition to modernity, U.S.-China conflicts over the two nations’ core interests, and the future of the U.S.-China power transition. This analysis holds the following propositions. First, as a result of its genuine development and the impact of its expanding influence on the international system, China and the United States are inescapably engaged in a power transition process, which is, on top of all other issues, about the future of international relations. Second, the history of power transition is filled with bloodshed; yet China and the United States are willing to blaze a new path out of this deadly contest. Third, although China and the United States have exchanged goodwill for a peaceful future, the two nations nevertheless have many contentious and unsettled conflicts of interest that are further complicated by the power transition process and, if not properly managed, can force the two to stumble into unintended war against each other, hence repeating the history of power transition tragedy. Finally, the next 30 years will be a crucial stage for China’s development and the evolution of the U.S.-China power transition. Unfortunately, these titanic changes are overshadowed by the inherently conflicting relations between China and the United States. It will take these two great powers extraordinary efforts to come to terms with the emerging new realities. Strategic Studies Institute.

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About the Author:
DAVID LAI is Research Professor of Asian Security Studies at the Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) of the U.S. Army War College. Before joining the SSI, Dr. Lai was on the faculty of the U.S. Air War College. Having grown up in China, Lai witnessed China’s “Cultural Revolution,” its economic reform, and the changes in U.S.-China relations. His teaching and research interests are in international relations theory, war and peace studies, comparative foreign and security policy, U.S.-China and U.S.-Asian relations, and Chinese strategic thinking and operational art. Dr. Lai is the author and co-author of many articles and books on U.S.-China and U.S.-Asian relations, and has co-edited several books on the subject, including The PLA at Home and Abroad: Assessing the Operational Capabilities of China’s Military (with Andrew Scobell and Roy Kamphausen, Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, June 2010), and Chinese Lessons from Other People’s Wars (with Andrew Scobell and Roy Kamphausen, Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, forthcoming). Dr. Lai holds a bachelor’s degree from China and a master’s degree and Ph.D. in political science from the University of Colorado.

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