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The Signal and the Noise ...in 30 Minutes (30 Minute Expert) - Softcover

  • 3.82 out of 5 stars
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9781623150525: The Signal and the Noise ...in 30 Minutes (30 Minute Expert)

Synopsis


The Signal and the Noise ...in 30 Minutes is your guide to quickly understanding the important lessons in Nate Silver's best-selling book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--but Some Don't.

In The Signal and the Noise, influential political forecaster Nate Silver narrows down what makes a good prediction, and why predictions even from the experts are often wrong. Nate Silver became a household name during the 2012 U.S. presidential election, and has gained renown for his accurate baseball predictions. In this innovative and exciting book, he uses probability, statistics, and a down-to-earth approach to explain how to distinguish the truth (the signal) from all the other distractions or assumptions (the noise), and make the best possible choices. The lessons in The Signal and the Noise will give you an edge in everything from choosing stocks to predicting world politics to making personal changes in light of climate change.

Use this helpful guide to understand The Signal and the Noise in a fraction of the time, with tools such as:

  • Insights into Nate Silver's journey from forecasting Major League Baseball players' performances to predicting the outcome of U.S. presidential elections 

  • Praise for and critical reactions to Silver's ideas, from such noted sources as the New York Review of Books and the Wall Street Journal

  • Explanations of the key concepts, including analyzing prediction failures, practicing Bayesian thinking, and expanding self-awareness

  • Easy-to-understand definitions and examples of key terms, such as Bayes's theorem 

  • Recommended readings and a bibliography listing additional resources analyzing Silver's work and the phenomenon of big data
As with all books in the 30 Minute Expert Series, this book is intended to be purchased alongside the reviewed title, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--but Some Don't.

"synopsis" may belong to another edition of this title.

About the Author

About the 30 Minute Expert Series 

The 30 Minute Expert Series is designed for busy individuals interested in acquiring an in-depth understanding of critically acclaimed books. 
 
More than just a summary, each book in the 30 Minute Expert Series offers a detailed analysis, key ideas and their application, and a contextual understanding of each work, in a straightforward and easily digestible format. Designed as companions to the original works, the 30 Minute Expert Series texts enable readers to gain expert knowledge of important works ...in 30 Minutes.

"About this title" may belong to another edition of this title.

  • PublisherCallisto
  • Publication date2012
  • ISBN 10 1623150523
  • ISBN 13 9781623150525
  • BindingPaperback
  • LanguageEnglish
  • Number of pages46
  • Rating
    • 3.82 out of 5 stars
      82 ratings by Goodreads

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The 30 Minute Expert Series
Published by Garamond Press, 2012
ISBN 10: 1623150523 ISBN 13: 9781623150525
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Condition: Very Good. Very Good condition. A copy that may have a few cosmetic defects. May also contain light spine creasing or a few markings such as an owner's name, short gifter's inscription or light stamp. Bundled media such as CDs, DVDs, floppy disks or access codes may not be included. Seller Inventory # R03O-00313

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30 Minute Expert Summaries
Published by Callisto, 2012
ISBN 10: 1623150523 ISBN 13: 9781623150525
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Paperback. Condition: Very Good. The book has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged. Seller Inventory # GOR005448161

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The 30 Minute Expert Series
Published by Garamond, 2012
ISBN 10: 1623150523 ISBN 13: 9781623150525
Used Softcover

Seller: Library House Internet Sales, Grand Rapids, OH, U.S.A.

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Softcover. Condition: Good. No Jacket. The Signal and the Noise %u2026in 30 Minutes is the essential guide to quickly understanding the fundamental components of prediction outlined in Nate Silver%u2019s bestselling book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail ¬%u2013 but Some Don%u2019t. In The Signal and the Noise bestselling author, political analyst, and statistician Nate Silver investigates the fundamentals of forecasting and answers why too much information can be misleading. Exploring a variety of fields, ranging from politics to poker to Wall Street and global warming, Silver explores why some forecasts are successful and, perhaps more telling, why so many fail. Stressing the importance of acknowledging personal bias, Silver posits that better forecasters possess a superior understanding of uncertainty and are driven by truth and humility while overconfidence can lead to failure. Presenting a framework for what constitutes a good forecast, Silver provides insight and tools for understanding how to successfully utilize Big Data and decipher meaningful signals from random noise. Please note the image in this listing is a stock photo and may not match the covers of the actual item. Book. Seller Inventory # 123653949

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