Items related to Does money matter in predicting future events?
Synopsis
Prediction markets are online trading platforms where contracts on future events are traded with payoffs being exclusively linked to event occurrence. Scientific research has shown that market prices of such contracts imply high forecasting accuracy through effective information aggregation of dispersed knowledge. This phenomenon is related to incentives for truthful aggregation in the form of real-money or play-money rewards. The question whether real- or play-money incentives enhance higher relative forecast accuracy has been addressed by previous works with diverse findings. The current state of empirical research in his field is subject to two inherent deficiencies. First, inter-market studies suffer from market disparities and differences in the definition of underlying events. Comparisons between two different platforms (one for play-money contracts, one for real-money contracts) are potentially biased by different trading behaviour. Second, the majority of studies are based upon identical datasets of market platforms (IOWA stock exchange, Tradesports/Intrade, NewsFutures).
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About the Author
Sebastian Diemer holds a Bachelor of Science from the European Business School as well as a Master of Science from the London School of Economics. He has published several studies on opportunities in the digital era and has started and sold several ventures. He likes travelling (travelled each continent and 52 countries), sports, and especially, water sports.
"About this title" may belong to another edition of this title.
- PublisherAnchor Academic Publishing
- Publication date2013
- ISBN 10 3954891328
- ISBN 13 9783954891320
- BindingPaperback
- LanguageEnglish
- Number of pages52
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Does money matter in predicting future events?
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Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. This item is printed on demand - it takes 3-4 days longer - Neuware -Prediction markets are online trading platforms where contracts on future events are traded with payoffs being exclusively linked to event occurrence. Scientific research has shown that market prices of such contracts imply high forecasting accuracy through effective information aggregation of dispersed knowledge. This phenomenon is related to incentives for truthful aggregation in the form of real-money or play-money rewards. The question whether real- or play-money incentives enhance higher relative forecast accuracy has been addressed by previous works with diverse findings. The current state of empirical research in his field is subject to two inherent deficiencies. First, inter-market studies suffer from market disparities and differences in the definition of underlying events. Comparisons between two different platforms (one for play-money contracts, one for real-money contracts) are potentially biased by different trading behaviour. Second, the majority of studies are based upon identical datasets of market platforms (IOWA stock exchange, Tradesports/Intrade, NewsFutures). 52 pp. Englisch. Seller Inventory # 9783954891320
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Does money matter in predicting future events?
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Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. Does money matter in predicting future events? | Sebastian Diemer | Taschenbuch | Paperback | 52 S. | Englisch | 2013 | Anchor Academic Publishing | EAN 9783954891320 | Verantwortliche Person für die EU: Dryas Verlag, ein Imprint der Bedey und Thoms Media GmbH, Hermannstal 119k, 22119 Hamburg, kontakt[at]dryas[dot]de | Anbieter: preigu. Seller Inventory # 105632921
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