Analysis of Uncertainty in ETMS Aggregate Demand Predictions

U.S. Department Of Transportation; Smith, Scott B.; Gilbo, Eugene P.

ISBN 10: 149542801X / ISBN 13: 9781495428012

Published by CreateSpace Independent Publishing Platform, 2005

About this Item

Print on Demand.

Seller Inventory # I-9781495428012

Bibliographic Details

• Title: Analysis of Uncertainty in ETMS Aggregate Demand Predictions
• Publisher: CreateSpace Independent Publishing Platform
• Publication Date: 2005
• Language: English
• ISBN 10: 149542801X
• ISBN 13: 9781495428012
• Binding: Soft cover
• Condition: New

About this title

Synopsis

The purpose of this research is to examine the accuracy of predicted ETMS airport and sector counts, and to attempt to develop better prediction algorithms. The remainder of this report is in six sections. • Section 1 Quality of Current Predictions Discussion of the accuracy of current flight predictions for a given location and 15-minute time interval. • Section 2 New Models for Predicting the Number of Flights The development and calibration of new models for predicting the number of flights in a 15-minute time interval. • Section 3 Testing Model 2 Discussion of the testing of one promising new model. • Section 4 Relationship between Flight Predictions and Monitor/Alert Discussion of the relationship between flight predictions and alerts, along with some performance metrics for alerts. • Section 5 Conclusion • Section 6 Next Steps • Section 7 References