There are great expectations around the future of autonomous vehicles (AVs) and equally much uncertainty. Some believe that AVs will transform safety and efficiency and are making significant investments in this area. Others are concerned that the technological developments are outpacing society’s ability to adapt, and there is an urgent requirement to develop better regulation before there is widespread deployment. A global Open Foresight project exploring the key issues for the future of AVs is being undertaken by Future Agenda. Expert workshops around the world are building the informed view.This project was kicked-off with a global review of the emerging landscape for autonomous vehicles. As well looking at the historical context for self-driving cars and trucks, this initial perspective explores the benefits of AVs; different issues for the movement of people vs. goods; the three primary drivers of adoption and the primary centres for innovation. It also includes commentary on the parallel developments in seaborne and air-based autonomous vehicles. It ends with some of the key questions to be explored by the project.About Future AgendaFuture Agenda runs the world’s largest open foresight programme and provides strategic advice to leading organisations globally. In 2010 and 2015 we undertook major worldwide research leading hundreds of expert workshops across over 20 topics. The insights from these discussions have been shared online and in two major publications – ‘The World in 2020’ and ‘The World in 2025’.Each year, the Future Agenda team undertakes in-depth global open foresight research projects on key themes of interest. In 2016 the focus was the Future of Cities. In 2017 it was the Future of Philanthropy and the Future of Patient Data. For 2018 the focus was the Future Value of Data and the Future of Digital Identity. Alongside Autonomous Vehicles, other topics for 2019 are the Future of Digital Education and the Future of Land Use. All our research is openly shared under the Creative Commons Non-Commercial license.

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