Title: Development of a Process for Integrated Development and Evaluation of Energy Scenarios for Lower Saxony. Final report of the research project NEDS - N
Publisher: Cuvillier 2019-12
Publication Date: 2019
Language: English
ISBN 10: 3736971184
ISBN 13: 9783736971189
Binding: PF
Condition: New

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Synopsis

In the research project NEDS - Sustainable Energy Supply Lower Saxony, conceivable transition paths towards a power supply based on renewable energies in Lower Saxony by 2050 are developed and examined for their sustainability and feasibility. Both the different technical focal points and the joint development of methods and models represent important aspects of the project. A comprehensive method for the integrated development and evaluation of energy scenarios is developed and applied to Lower Saxony. As a basic framework, five future scenarios for the target year 2050 are developed. Based on the qualitative future scenarios and three chosen alternatives, quantitative assumptions are made for the simulation and evaluation. The simulation results of the system model form the basis for the system evaluation. Defined system states for the transition years are simulated and then compared using a multi-criteria decision analysis based on sustainability criteria. In dem Forschungsprojekt NEDS - Nachhaltige Energieversorgung Niedersachsen werden denkbare Transitionspfade hin zu einer auf erneuerbaren Energien basierenden Stromversorgung in Niedersachsen bis 2050 entwickelt und auf ihre Nachhaltigkeit und Umsetzbarkeit untersucht. Sowohl die unterschiedlichen fachlichen Schwerpunkte als auch die gemeinsame Entwicklung von Methodik und Modellen stellen wichtige Aspekte im Projekt dar. Es wird eine umfassende Methodik zur integrierten Entwicklung und Bewertung von Energieszenarien erarbeitet und auf Niedersachsen angewendet. Als Grundger�st werden f�nf Zukunftsszenarien f�r das Zieljahr 2050 entwickelt. Aus den qualitativen Zukunftsszenarien und drei ausgew�hlten Alternativen werden quantitative Annahmen f�r die Simulation und Bewertung erstellt. Die Ergebnisse der Simulationen des Systemmodells bilden die Grundlage f�r die Systembewertung. Definierte Systemzust�nde f�r die Transitionsjahre werden simuliert und anschlie�end mithilfe einer multikriteriellen Bewertungsmethod

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