Expert judgment is invaluable for assessing products, systems, and situations for which measurements or test results are sparse or nonexistent. Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgment: A Practical Guide takes the reader step by step through the techniques of eliciting and analyzing expert judgment, with special attention given to helping the reader develop elicitation methods and tools adaptable to a variety of unique situations and work areas. The analysis procedures presented in the book may require a basic understanding of statistics and probabilities, but the authors have provided detailed explanations of the techniques used and have taken special care to define all statistical jargon. Originally published in 1991, this book is designed so that those familiar with the use of expert judgment can quickly find the material appropriate for their advanced background.

About the Author

Dr. Meyer is a cultural anthropologist with the Statistical Sciences Group at Los Alamos National Laboratory. She specializes in the study of scientists, their knowledge, including expert judgment, and multidisciplinary work practices. She currently leads an interdisciplinary team that creates customizable technologies for eliciting, representing, integrating, and analyzing experts' knowledge to support their decision making. In 1999, she received the distinguished performance award from the Laboratory and the R&D 100 Award from R&D Magazine for the reliability methodology PREDICT.

Dr. Booker joined the Statistical Sciences Group at Los Alamos National Laboratory in 1980. Her recent research and development efforts have been in the areas of statistical reliability, information integration methods, and analysis of expert judgment. In 1999, she was elected Fellow of the American Statistical Association and received, in conjunction with Delphi Automotive Systems, the R&D 100 Award for PREDICT. She is coediting the book Fuzzy Logic and Probability Applications, with T. J. Ross and W. J. Parkinson, to be published by SIAM.

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