An N Enquiry Into Linear Conflict Models (Paperback)

Klaus B. Beckmann

ISBN 10: 384877156X / ISBN 13: 9783848771561

Published by Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft, 2021

About this Item

Paperback. This monograph generalises, and extends, the classic dynamic models in conflict analysis (Lanchester 1916, Richardson 1919, Boulding 1962). Restrictions on parameters are relaxed to account for alliances and for peacekeeping. Incrementalist as well as stochastic versions of the model are reviewed. These extensions allow for a rich variety of patterns of dynamic conflict. Using Monte Carlo techniques as well as time series analyses based on GDELT data (for the Ethiopian-Eritreian war, 1998-2000), we also assess the empirical usefulness of the model. It turns out that linear dynamic models capture selected phases of the conflict quite well, offering a potential taxonomy for conflict dynamics. We also discuss a method for introducing a modicum of (bounded) rationality into models from this tradition. Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability.

Seller Inventory # 9783848771561

Bibliographic Details

• Title: An N Enquiry Into Linear Conflict Models (Paperback)
• Publisher: Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft
• Publication Date: 2021
• Language: English
• ISBN 10: 384877156X
• ISBN 13: 9783848771561
• Binding: Paperback
• Condition: new

About this title

Synopsis

This monograph generalises, and extends, the classic dynamic models in conflict analysis (Lanchester 1916, Richardson 1919, Boulding 1962). Restrictions on parameters are relaxed to account for alliances and for peacekeeping. Incrementalist as well as stochastic versions of the model are reviewed. These extensions allow for a rich variety of patterns of dynamic conflict. Using Monte Carlo techniques as well as time series analyses based on GDELT data (for the Ethiopian-Eritreian war, 1998-2000), we also assess the empirical usefulness of the model. It turns out that linear dynamic models capture selected phases of the conflict quite well, offering a potential taxonomy for conflict dynamics. We also discuss a method for introducing a modicum of (bounded) rationality into models from this tradition.