Estimative Intelligence in European Foreign Policymaking

Language: English

Published by Edinburgh University Press, GB, 2024

1399505521 / 9781399505529

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This book provides the first assessment of the performance of three leading European polities in providing estimative intelligence during an era of surprise. It develops a new framework for conducting postmortems guided by a normative model of anticipatory foreign policy. The comparative analysis focuses on how the UK, the EU and Germany handled three cases of major surprises: the Arab uprisings, the rise to power of the Islamic State (ISIS), and the Russian annexation of Crimea. It considers not just government intelligence assessments, but also diplomatic reporting and expert open sources and how these assessments were received by organisational leaders. The book tests and develops new theories about the causes of strategic surprises, going beyond a common focus on intelligence versus policy failures to identify challenges and factors that cut across both communities. With the help of former senior officials, the book identifies lessons yet to be learnt by European polities to better anticipate and prepare for future surprises.

Seller Inventory # LU-9781399505529

Title
Estimative Intelligence in European Foreign Policymaking
Author
Christoph Meyer
Publisher
Edinburgh University Press, GB
Publication year
2024
Condition
New
Binding
Paperback
Language
English
ISBN 10
1399505521
ISBN 13
9781399505529

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