Everything Is Predictable : How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World

Tom Chivers

ISBN 10: 1668052636 / ISBN 13: 9781668052631

Published by Atria/One Signal Publishers Jul 2025, 2025

About this Item

Neuware - A "fascinating, witty, and perspective-shifting" (Oliver Burkeman, New York Times bestselling author) tour of Bayes s theorem and its global impact on modern life from the acclaimed science writer and author of The Rationalist s Guide to the Galaxy.At its simplest, Bayes s theorem describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But in Everything Is Predictable, Tom Chivers lays out how it affects every aspect of our lives. He explains why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives and how a failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. A cornerstone of rational thought, many argue that Bayes s theorem is a description of almost everything. But who was the man who lent his name to this theorem How did an 18th-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician uncover a theorem that would affect fields as diverse as medicine, law, and artificial intelligence "Witty, lively, and best of all, extremely nerdy" (Tim Harford, author of The Undercover Economist), Everything Is Predictable is an entertaining and accessible illustration of how a single compelling idea can have far reaching consequences.

Seller Inventory # 9781668052631

Bibliographic Details

• Title: Everything Is Predictable : How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World
• Publisher: Atria/One Signal Publishers Jul 2025
• Publication Date: 2025
• Language: English
• ISBN 10: 1668052636
• ISBN 13: 9781668052631
• Binding: Taschenbuch
• Condition: Neu
• Dimensions: 211W x 139H x 26D millimeters 211 millimeters width by 139 millimeters height by 26 millimeters depth
• Weight: 308 grams

About this title

Synopsis

A “fascinating, witty, and perspective-shifting” (Oliver Burkeman, New York Times bestselling author) tour of Bayes’s theorem and its global impact on modern life from the acclaimed science writer and author of The Rationalist’s Guide to the Galaxy.

At its simplest, Bayes’s theorem describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But in Everything Is Predictable, Tom Chivers lays out how it affects every aspect of our lives. He explains why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives and how a failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. A cornerstone of rational thought, many argue that Bayes’s theorem is a description of almost everything.

But who was the man who lent his name to this theorem? How did an 18th-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician uncover a theorem that would affect fields as diverse as medicine, law, and artificial intelligence?

“Witty, lively, and best of all, extremely nerdy” (Tim Harford, author of The Undercover Economist), Everything Is Predictable is an entertaining and accessible illustration of how a single compelling idea can have far reaching consequences.

About the Author

Tom Chivers is an author and the award-winning science writer for Semafor. His writing has appeared in The Times (London), The Guardian, New Scientist, Wired, CNN, and more. His books include Everything Is Predictable, The Rationalist’s Guide to the Galaxy, and How to Read Numbers.