Forecast Verification: A Practitioner s Guide in Atmospheric Science

Forecast Verification: A Practioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, 2nd Edition provides an indispensible guide to this area of active research by combining depth of information with a range of topics to appeal both to professional practitioners and researchers and postgraduates. The editors have succeeded in presenting chapters by a variety of the leading experts in the field while still retaining a cohesive and highly accessible style. The book balances explanations of concepts with clear and useful discussion of the main application areas.

Reviews of first edition:

"This book will provide a good reference, and I recommend it especially for developers and evaluators of statistical forecast systems." (Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society; April 2004)

"...a good mixture of theory and practical applications...well organized and clearly written..." (Royal Statistical Society, Vol.168, No.1, January 2005)

NEW to the second edition:

• Completely updated chapter on the Verification of Spatial Forecasts taking account of the wealth of new research in the area
• New separate chapters on Probability Forecasts and Ensemble Forecasts
• Includes new chapter on Forecasts of Extreme Events and Warnings
• Includes new chapter on Seasonal and Climate Forecasts
• Includes new Appendix on Verification Software

Cover image credit: The triangle of barplots shows a novel use of colour for visualizing probability forecasts of ternary categories – see Fig 6b of Jupp et al. 2011, On the visualisation, verification and recalibration of ternary probabilistic forecasts, Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. (in press).

Editors

Ian T. Jolliff e and David B. Stephenson, both at the University of Exeter, UK