This book explores how to set up an empirical model that helps with forecasting long-term economic growth in a large number of countries. It offers a systematic approach to models of potential GDP that can also be used for forecasts of more than a decade. It is an attempt to fill the wide gap between the high demand for such models by commercial banks, international organizations, central banks and governments on the one hand and the limited supply on the other hand. Frequent forecast failures in the past (e.g. Japan 1990, Asia 1997) and the heavy economic losses they produced motivated the work. The book assesses the large number of different theories of economic growth, the drivers of economic growth, the available datasets and the empirical methods on offer. A preference is shown for evolutionary models and an augmented Kaldor model. The book uses non-stationary panel techniques to find pair-wise cointegration among GDP per capita and its main correlates such as physical capital, human capital and openness. GDP forecasts for the years 2006 to 2020 for 40 countries are derived in a transparent way.

About the Author

The author works for a commercial bank and has been the lead researcher in the bank's project called "Global Growth Centres 2020".

"About this title" may belong to another edition of this title.

Store Description

Professional Book Seller offering fast shipping and hassle-free returns for every order. Our 100% satisfaction policy guarantees that you get the best product and the best service at the best price!

Visit Seller's Storefront

Seller's business information

Basi6 International LLC
1018 Camino Lago, Irving, TX, 75039, U.S.A.

Sale & Shipping Terms

Terms of Sale

Professional Book Seller shipping from Multiple Locations Worldwide for fastest delivery possible!

Shipping Terms

All orders shipped via FedEx or DHL and delivered to your doorstep within 3-5 days. We do not ship to P.O.Boxes and a proper street address must be provided to avoid any delays.

Shipping rates within U.S.A.

Shipping rates within U.S.A.
Order quantity	5 to 14 business days	3 to 6 business days
First item	US$ 0.00	US$ 0.00

Delivery times are set by sellers and vary by carrier and location. Orders passing through Customs may face delays and buyers are responsible for any associated duties or fees. Sellers may contact you regarding additional charges to cover any increased costs to ship your items.