The Mind's Arrows: Bayes Nets and Graphical Causal Models in Psychology

orig. cloth Minor rubbing, VG., dustwrapper. Textual diagrams. 23x15cm, xviii,222 pp Contents: Developmental Psychology and Discovery: Children; The Platonic Theory of Cognitive Development; The Theory Theory; Android Epistemology; Issues; Another Way for Nerds to Make Babies: The Frame Problem and Causal Inference in Developmental Psychology; The Frame Problem; A Toy Introduction to the Markov Assumption; The Causal Markov Assumption; Causal Bayes Nets; Heuristics and Concept Formation; Experiments; Conclusion; Adult Judgements of Causation; A Puzzling Experiment; Of Mice and Men; The Puzzled Resolved; Marilyn vos Savant Meets Rescorla and Wagner: Conditional Dependence and the Monte Hall Game; Testing Rescorla and Wagner's Model; Cheng Models: Cheng's Model of Human Judgement of Generative Causal Power; Preventive Causes; Generative Interaction; Cheng Models as Bayes Nets; Discovering the Causal Graph; Learning Procedures: The Virtues of Rescorla-Wagner; Point Estimates of Causal Powers; Adaptive Scores: The Bayesian Way; Building on Patterns in the Data; Heuristics & Compromises; Building on Sand; Representation & Rationality: The Case of Backward Blocking; Backward Blocking; Experiments; Backward Blocking Does Not Hold in All Models; Backward Blocking Holds for Cheng Models; General Considerations; Backward Blocking in the Cheng Model & Inference from Frequencies; Inference & Explanation in Cognitive Neuropsychology; Cognitive Parts: From Freud to Farah; Parts, Beliefs, and Habits. Minor rubbing, VG., dustwrapper.…