Monsoon Prediction

Contents Preface. List of acronyms and abbreviations. 1. The Indian southwest monsoon. 2. Global and regional relationships of the monsoon. 3. Long range forecasting of monsoon seasonal rainfall. 4. Prediction of monsoon intraseasonal elements. 5. Projection of monsoon behaviour in the 21 century. 6. Monsoon prediction problems and prospects. Index. Life in India revolves around the Indian southwest monsoon which is the most intense among all global monsoons. It is India's prime source of water and Indian agriculture food grain production and the GDP growth rate are linked to the behaviour of the monsoon rains. This book deals with the particular challenge posed by the need for monsoon prediction users expectations the current state of art in monsoon modelling present scientific limitations and future prospects. It discusses the projections of monsoon behaviour in the 21 century and the likely impact of global warming on the monsoon. The book can serve as a textbook for university courses in atmospheric and environmental sciences as a guide for operational meteorologists and as a source of reference for scientists research workers and all others interested in the Indian monsoon. The book covers Classical and modern theories of the Indian southwest monsoon. Rainfall climatology of the monsoon. Global and regional relationships of the monsoon. Long range forecasting of seasonal monsoon rainfall. Prediction of intraseasonal monsoon elements. Projection of monsoon behaviour in the 21 century. Monsoon field experiments. Current status and future prospects in monsoon prediction. 234 pp.…