Synopsis
This book explores the intuitive appeal of neural networks and the genetic algorithm in finance. It demonstrates how neural networks used in combination with evolutionary computation outperform classical econometric methods for accuracy in forecasting, classification and dimensionality reduction. McNelis utilizes a variety of examples, from forecasting automobile production and corporate bond spread, to inflation and deflation processes in Hong Kong and Japan, to credit card default in Germany to bank failures in Texas, to cap-floor volatilities in New York and Hong Kong.
* Offers a balanced, critical review of the neural network methods and genetic algorithms used in finance * Includes numerous examples and applications * Numerical illustrations use MATLAB code and the book is accompanied by a website
From the Back Cover
[back jacket]Business/Finance Neural Networks in FinanceGaining Predictive Edge in the MarketPaul McNelis"This book clarifies many of the mysteries of Neural Networks and related optimization techniques for researchers in both economics and finance. It contains many practical examples backed up with computer programs for readers to explore. I recommend it to anyone who wants to understand methods used in nonlinear forecasting." ― Blake LeBaron, Professor of Finance, Brandeis University "An important addition to the select collection of books on financial econometrics… Neural Networks in Finance serves as an important reference on neural network models of nonlinear dynamics as a practical econometric tool for better decision-making in financial markets." ― Roberto S. Mariano, Dean of School of Economics and Social Sciences & Vice-Provost for Research, Singapore Management University; Professor Emeritus of Economics, University of PennsylvaniaNeural Networks in Finance explores the intuitive appeal of neural networks and the genetic algorithm in finance. It demonstrates how neural networks used in combination with evolutionary computation outperform classical econometric methods for accuracy in forecasting, classification and dimensionality reduction. The text shows that these networks are easy to implement and interpret once the time-honored quest for closed form solutions is reconsidered.McNelis utilizes a variety of examples, from forecasting automobile production and corporate bond spread, to inflation and deflation processes in Hong Kong and Japan, to credit card default in Germany, to bank failures in Texas, to cap-floor volatilities in New York and Hong Kong. Numerical illustrations use MATLAB code and the book is accompanied by a website.
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