Nuclear weapons policy at the crossroads.

This study examines the factors that will shape states' nuclear weapons policies this century. It discusses and evaluates the influence of key strategic relationships, military threats and technological developments, domestic factors, changing concepts of security, and the evolution of arms management and limitation regimes. It analyzes various types of disarmament and arms control strategies and the verification techniques and frameworks that might sustain them. Against this background, the paper identifies four possible nuclear futures, and assesses the capabilities and limitations of the tools which might prevent the emergence of a high-salience nuclear future. In association with Mountbatten Centre for International Studies, University of Southampton.

Darryl Howlett is a Senior Lecturer in the Division of Politics and International Relations. Tanya Ogilvie-White is a senior lecturer in the School of Social and Political Sciences at the University of Canterbury. John Simpson is Director of the Mountbatten Centre for International Studies. Emily Taylor was Legal and Policy Director of Nominet.