Renowned technology and economics forecaster Mark Anderson reveals hidden patterns beneath the art and science of predicting the future. Through a series of personal vignettes, Anderson exposes a complex web of causes, influences, and effects that propel today's world, then describes strategies that he employs to lay bare new trends, to make new discoveries in a wide variety of disciplines, and to accurately foresee future events.
Mark Excerpt from David Brin's foreword to The Pattern Future:
At the Strategic News Service, Mark [Anderson] and his analysts use their newsletter to peel back surfaces, looking for the trends under trends. He travels the world, invited by sages and leaders who ask "What did we miss?" . . . Mark has put one priority above all others - fostering creative problem-solving.
And now he's sharing his core methods with you. Mark didn't have to invent any arm-waved terminology; the key words were already there - pattern recognition. Indeed, AI researchers have poured billions into teaching our machines to parse things like picking out a dog amid cats. But Mark is after much subtler configurations - patterns of cause and effect that still pop out only when they are sought by human minds. Minds who are simultaneously both open and critical.
. . . Science already is comfortable with reciprocal delusion piercing. But out there in our wild markets, where cheating and self-deception abound, is also where humanity builds and allocates the vast wealth we need, to end poverty and injustice, to solve problems and reach for the stars. Out there in the messy souks and bazaars of capital and policy . . . that is where we desperately need better pattern recognition, by officers of the state, by leaders of companies, and especially by average citizens. We must get better at perceiving patterns in the way that others (and that person in the mirror) are both wrong and right.
Here's a toolkit to get started.