Title: Probabilidad : Elementos Para Modelar Situaciones Con Incertidumbre -Language: spanish
Publisher: CreateSpace Independent Publishing Platform
Publication Date: 2017
Language: Spanish
ISBN 10: 197901292X
ISBN 13: 9781979012928
Binding: Soft cover
Condition: New

About this title

Synopsis

Este libro es un aporte a la ense�anza de los fundamentos de la modelaci�n probabil�stica, la estad�stica y sus aplicaciones, una tarea compleja y que tiene requerimientos muy diferentes seg�n la formaci�n profesional de la persona a quien vaya dirigida y –algo muy importante– seg�n su inter�s particular. La aplicaci�n exitosa de las matem�ticas en cualquier campo requiere de una adecuada modelaci�n de la situaci�n de inter�s. Al hablar de modelaci�n probabil�stica –proceso que gobierna la orientaci�n del libro– estamos aceptando la existencia de una ley de probabilidades propia del objeto –poblaci�n o fen�meno en estudio–, e independiente del sujeto que lo estudia. Bajo esta hip�tesis, la modelaci�n intenta establecer la forma de esa ley. El presente es un texto dirigido a quienes requieran tomar decisiones en situaciones de informaci�n incierta, y particularmente a quienes laboran en los campos de la ingenier�a, la econom�a y la administraci�n en general. Est� organizado en tres partes: la primera presenta las nociones b�sicas de probabilidad y estad�stica; la segunda, los fundamentos para la modelaci�n probabil�stica y algunos modelos de uso frecuente; y la tercera, algunos temas requeridos para avanzar en dicha modelaci�n, junto con otros modelos que tambi�n son utilizados con frecuencia. Finalmente, las ideas y conceptos contenidos en este libro se desarrollan de una forma clara y precisa, con el estilo pedag�gico que caracteriz� al profesor Osuna a lo largo de su extensa carrera docente.

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