A Systems Engineering Approach to Analyzing Weather Input Sensitivities of the Joint Precision Air Drop System

The United States Air Force is partnering with the United States Army as well as allied nations to develop a revolutionary advance in logistical support known as the Joint Precision Air Drop System (JPADS). The focus of this study is to develop a process to quantitatively analyze system sensitivities to various types of weather inputs and the corresponding effect on system accuracy. Weather balloons were used to provide representative "truth" to which forecast weather could be compared. Each data type was fed into the JPADS Mission Planner to produce navigation points which could then be compared statistically. The process was tested on a limited data set to provide a first look at the variables of forecast resolution and "lead-time."

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