The Uncertainty Analysis of Model Results : A Practical Guide

Eduard Hofer

ISBN 10: 3030094561 / ISBN 13: 9783030094560

Published by Springer International Publishing, Springer International Publishing, 2019

About this Item

Druck auf Anfrage Neuware - Printed after ordering - This book is a practical guide to the uncertainty analysis of computer model applications. Used in many areas, such as engineering, ecology and economics, computer models are subject to various uncertainties at the level of model formulations, parameter values and input data. Naturally, it would be advantageous to know the combined effect of these uncertainties on the model results as well as whether the state of knowledge should be improved in order to reduce the uncertainty of the results most effectively. The book supports decision-makers, model developers and users in their argumentation for an uncertainty analysis and assists them in the interpretation of the analysis results.

Seller Inventory # 9783030094560

Bibliographic Details

• Title: The Uncertainty Analysis of Model Results : A Practical Guide
• Publisher: Springer International Publishing, Springer International Publishing
• Publication Date: 2019
• Language: English
• ISBN 10: 3030094561
• ISBN 13: 9783030094560
• Binding: Taschenbuch
• Condition: Neu
• Dimensions: 235W x 155H x 20D millimeters 235 millimeters width by 155 millimeters height by 20 millimeters depth
• Weight: 552 grams

About this title

Synopsis

This book is a practical guide to the uncertainty analysis of computer model applications. Used in many areas, such as engineering, ecology and economics, computer models are subject to various uncertainties at the level of model formulations, parameter values and input data. Naturally, it would be advantageous to know the combined effect of these uncertainties on the model results as well as whether the state of knowledge should be improved in order to reduce the uncertainty of the results most effectively. The book supports decision-makers, model developers and users in their argumentation for an uncertainty analysis and assists them in the interpretation of the analysis results.

About the Author

Eduard Hofer holds a Master of Science diploma with distinction in mathematics from the Technical University of Munich (TUM), Germany. He developed a method for the numerical solution of initial value problems with large systems of stiff first-order ordinary differential equations. He also designed a non-commercial, PC-based software system for uncertainty analysis of results from computer models and conducted the uncertainty analysis of numerous applications of computationally demanding computer models. Hofer served on the external peer-review committee of a major US dose reconstruction study with the subtask in uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, and contributed to numerous international conferences. Furthermore, he received an award for his contributions in the field of probabilistic risk assessment.