Verbal Decision Analysis for Unstructured Problems

Language: English

Published by Springer US, Springer US Jun 1997, 1997

0792345789 / 9780792345787

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This item is printed on demand - Print on Demand Titel. Neuware -A central problem of prescriptive decision making is the mismatch between the elegant formal models of decision theory and the less elegant, informal thinking of decision makers, especially when dealing with ill-structured situations. This problem has been a central concern of the authors and their colleagues over the past two decades. They have wisely (to my mind) realized that any viable solution must be informed by a deep understanding of both the structural properties of alternative formalisms and the cognitive demands that they impose on decision makers. Considering the two in parallel reduces the risk of forcing decision makers to say things and endorse models that they do not really understand. It opens the door for creative solutions, incorporating insights from both decision theory and cognitive psychology. It is this opportunity that the authors have so ably exploited in this important book. Under the pressures of an interview situation, people will often answer a question that is put to them. Thus, they may be willing to provide a decision consultant with probability and utility assessments for all manner of things. However, if they do not fully understand the implications of what they are saying and the use to which it will be put, then they cannot maintain cognitive mastery of the decision models intended to represent their beliefs and interests.Springer-Verlag GmbH, Tiergartenstr. 17, 69121 Heidelberg 276 pp. Englisch.

Seller Inventory # 9780792345787

Title
Verbal Decision Analysis for Unstructured Problems
Author
Helen M. Moshkovich
Publisher
Springer US, Springer US Jun 1997
Publication year
1997
Condition
Neu
Binding
Buch
Language
English
ISBN 10
0792345789
ISBN 13
9780792345787
Item weight
582 grams
Dimensions
241x160x20 mm

buchversandmimpf2000

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