RETURN OF TRUMP AND THE END OF THE OLD ORDER This timely book, by two eminent strategic forecasters, Mathew Burrows and Josef Braml, illuminates where the West and the world are headed in the wake of the November election. Weakened by recent military failures in Iraq and Afghanistan and potential setbacks in Ukraine and the Middle East, the United States is declining as a global power, even if it continues to play an outsized role on the world stage. Not since the end of the Cold War has there been so much pessimism in the West and uncertainty about the future of the world. A new set of destabilising factors— regional conflicts, climate change, the growth of AI, a global economic slowdown, endemic illegal immigration— are feeding off each other and producing more instability. Far-right and populist movements in Europe and North America thrive on this vulnerability. As the world grapples with these issues, separate conflicts in Middle East and Ukraine are threatening to shatter the nuclear weapons taboo that has held since 1945. Plus, a fragmenting global economy with the growing protectionism by the United States and China is producing a world of slower growth. A major war between

About the Author

DR. JOSEF BRAML is the Secretary General of the German Group and the European Director of the Trilateral Commission— an influential global platform for dialogue between America Europe and Asia. Previously from 2006 to 2020 he worked at the German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP). He earned a PhD in Political Science and a Masters in International Business and Cultural Studies from the University of Passau. DR. MATHEW BURROWS is the Counselor and Program Lead of the Stimson Center’ s Strategic Foresight Hub. Prior to joining Stimson he had a distinguished career in the State Department and the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the last 10 years of which he spent at the National Intelligence Council (NIC). Burrows is one of the leading experts on strategic foresight and global trend analysis. He received a BA in American and European history from Wesleyan University and a PhD in European history from the University of Cambridge.

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