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Forecasting Mortality Developed Countries (14 results)
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries: Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective (European Studies of Population, 9)
Seller: Ria Christie Collections, Uxbridge, United Kingdom
Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars
US$ 190.58
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries: Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective (European Studies of Population, 9)
Seller: Ria Christie Collections, Uxbridge, United Kingdom
Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars
US$ 190.58
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Add to basketCondition: New. In.
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Condition: New. pp. 340.
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Condition: New. pp. 336.
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries
Language: English
Published by Springer Netherlands, 2010
ISBN 10: 9048156602 ISBN 13: 9789048156603
US$ 215.22
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Add to basketCondition: New. Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of fore.
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries
Language: English
Published by Springer Netherlands, 2001
ISBN 10: 0792368339 ISBN 13: 9780792368335
US$ 214.97
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Add to basketGebunden. Condition: New. Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of fore.
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US$ 271.38
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Add to basketPaperback. Condition: Brand New. 340 pages. 9.25x6.10x0.76 inches. In Stock.
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Add to basketHardcover. Condition: Like New. LIKE NEW. SHIPS FROM MULTIPLE LOCATIONS. book.
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Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. Neuware - Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe. In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality.
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Buch. Condition: Neu. Neuware - Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe. In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality.
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US$ 248.80
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Add to basketCondition: New. Print on Demand pp. 336 49:B&W 6.14 x 9.21 in or 234 x 156 mm (Royal 8vo) Perfect Bound on White w/Gloss Lam.
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US$ 252.87
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Add to basketCondition: New. Print on Demand pp. 340 Illus.
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Condition: New. PRINT ON DEMAND pp. 340.
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Condition: New. PRINT ON DEMAND pp. 336.
