Year 2000 Framework Speculation Next: First Edition (5 results)
Published by The Macmillan Company, New York 1967
- Hardcover
- First Edition
Seller: Friends of the Curtis Memorial Library, Brunswick, ME, U.S.A.Friends of the Curtis Memorial Library
Contact seller5-star sellerCondition: Used - Very good
US$ 37.50
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Hardcover. Condition: Very Good. No Jacket. 1st Edition. Stated First Printing. Bound in green cloth with title and authors on a blue panel on the spine. The panel colors have worn. Otherwise the book is clean, tight, and unmarked. 431 pp. including an index.
More imagesPublished by The Macmillan Company, New York 1967
- Hardcover
- First Edition
Seller: Small Volume Books, Providence, RI, U.S.A.Small Volume Books
Contact seller4-star sellerCondition: Used - Near fine
US$ 45.00
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Cloth. Condition: Near Fine. Dust Jacket Condition: Very Good. 8vo. 431 pp. Green cloth in dust jacket. Light edgewear and scuffing to dj. Faint discoloration to endpapers. Text clean, binding sound. Predictions on the future of society sponsored by the American Academy of Arts and Sciences.
Published by The Macmillan Company, New York 1967
- Hardcover
- First Edition
Seller: Ground Zero Books, Ltd., Silver Spring, MD, U.S.A.Ground Zero Books, Ltd.
Contact seller5-star sellerCondition: Used - Good
US$ 50.00
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Hardcover. Condition: Good. Dust Jacket Condition: Good. First Printing [stated]. xxviii, [2], 431, [3] pages. Figures. Tables. Index. DJ slightly soiled, small tears & chips along top & bottom edges of DJ, small rough spot ins front flyleaf. Herman Kahn (February 15, 1922 - July 7, 1983) was a founder of the Hudson Institute an…d one of the preeminent futurists of the latter part of the twentieth century. He originally came to prominence as a military strategist and systems theorist while employed at the RAND Corporation. He became known for analyzing the likely consequences of nuclear war and recommending ways to improve survivability, making him one of three historical inspirations for the title character of Stanley Kubrick's classic black comedy film satire Dr. Strangelove. His theories contributed heavily to the development of the nuclear strategy of the United States. This is the first volume of the studies done under the Commission on the Year 2000, sponsored by the American Academy of Arts and Sciences and supported by the Corning Glass Foundation and the Carnegie Corporation. In 1967, Herman Kahn and Anthony J. Wiener published The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty-Three Years, which included contributions from staff members of the Hudson Institute and an introduction by Daniel Bell. Table XVIII in the document contains a list called "One Hundred Technical Innovations Very Likely in the Last Third of the Twentieth Century". The book he and Mr. Kahn wrote was "The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty-three Years," and its publication was a milestone in the futurism fad of the 1960s. The book combined multifarious elements, from the insights of Aristotle to sophisticated statistical analysis, to create what the authors called "a framework for speculation." About half of its 100 predictions panned out â" not including 150-year life spans or months of hibernation for humans. But accuracy mattered less than what Mr. Wiener called "reducing the role of thoughtlessness" in making societal choices. Clarification, not prophecy, was the goal. The first ten predictions, in which they 'batted a thousand', were: Multiple applications of lasers. Extreme high-strength structural materials. New or improved superperformance fabrics. New or improved materials for equipment and appliances. New airborne vehicles (ground-effect vehicles, giant or supersonic jets, VTOL, STOL). Extensive commercial applications of shaped-charge explosives. More reliable and longer-range weather forecasting. Extensive and/or intensive expansion of tropical agriculture and forestry. New sources of power for fixed installations. New sources of power for ground transportation.
More imagesLanguage: English
Published by The Macmillan Company, New York, London 1969
- Hardcover
- First Edition
Seller: GoldBookShelf, Burlington, ON, CanadaGoldBookShelf
Contact seller5-star sellerCondition: Used - Fine
US$ 95.00
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Hardcover. Condition: Fine. Dust Jacket Condition: Near Fine. 1st Edition. Hardcover with DJ. Cloth. Excellent condition, with owner's name. Top edge stain, little faded. Clean fresh to text. A handsome copy. xviii, 431pp.
Published by New York The Macmillan Company 1967
- Hardcover
- First Edition
- Signed
Seller: Shapero Rare Books, London, United KingdomShapero Rare Books
Contact seller5-star sellerCondition: Used
US$ 1,036.37
US$ 20.12 shippingShips from United Kingdom to U.S.A.Quantity: 1 available
First edition, second printing, inscribed by the author on the front free endpaper; large 8vo; some light offsetting to endpapers, a little creasing to upper corners of text block; publisher's green cloth, title to spine in gilt on blue ground, corners gently bumped, in the original printed dust jacket, lightly rubbed and dulled… with some nicks, short splits, and creasing, a very good copy; xxviii, 431pp. First edition, second printing, inscribed by Herman Kahn on the front free endpaper, 'Jan 5, 1968 To Russell Robins, With my compliments and I hope for your interest Herman Kahn'. An unusually nice copy in the dust jacket and scarce signed. The Year 2000, published in 1967, concerns Hudson Institute colleagues Herman Kahn and Anthony J. Wiener's predictions for what the world might look like at the turn of the millennium. As futurists, they saw such study as 'a vital part of the conduct of public policy and the strategies of survival.' (blurb) Kahn, also a physicist and nuclear strategist, came to prominence for his 1960 book On Thermonuclear War, a controversial and intensely pragmatic approach to nuclear exchange published when he worked at the RAND Corporation, in which he posited nuclear war as 'winnable'. After selling 30000 copies in hardcover, the book shaped the conversation around nuclear weapons to such an extent that it had a notable impact on the formation of the American nuclear doctrine. Kahn is also regarded as one of the key inspirations behind Stanley Kubrick's infamous character, Dr. Strangelove.
