Turkey's Nuclear Future

viii, [2], 245, [5] pages. Figure. Notes. Index. Contributors. Foreword by William J. Burns. George Perkovich is the Ken Olivier and Angela Nomellini Chair and vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, overseeing the Technology and International Affairs Program and Nuclear Policy Program. He works primarily on nuclear strategy and nonproliferation issues; cyberconflict; and new approaches to international public-private management of strategic technologies. He is the author of the prize-winning book, India?s Nuclear Bomb, and co-author of, Not War, Not Peace? Motivating Pakistan to Prevent Cross-Border Terrorism. Perkovich?s short-form writing has appeared in leading international journals and newspapers. He has advised many agencies of the U.S. government, and testified before both houses of Congress. He has been a member of the National Academy of Science?s Committee on Arms Control and International Security,and the Council on Foreign Relations Task Force on Nuclear Policy. Sinan Ülgen is a senior fellow at Carnegie Europe in Brussels, where his research focuses on Turkish foreign policy, nuclear policy, cyberpolicy, and transatlantic relations. Ülgen has served in the Turkish Foreign Service in several capacities: in Ankara on the United Nations desk (1990?1992); in Brussels at the Turkish Permanent Delegation to the European Union (1992?1996). Ülgen is the author of Governing Cyberspace: A Road Map for Transatlantic Leadership, Handbook of EU Negotiations, and The European Transformation of Modern Turkey with Kemal Dervi . The international landscape is undergoing significant change?new global and regional powers are rising, hundreds of millions of people around the world are climbing into the middle class, hyper-empowered individuals with the capacity to do great good and huge harm are multiplying, and more information is flowing more rapidly than ever before. Turkey?s emergence over the past decade as a more independent and assertive foreign policy actor is indicative of this change and both the challenges and opportunities it presents to regional stability and international security. This volume focuses on one of the most consequential aspects of Turkey?s transformation. Turkey, with a robust modern economy and growing energy needs, is pursuing a switch to nuclear power. But that shift is occurring in an environment fraught with security challenges: Turkey borders Iraq, Syria, and Iran, all states with nuclear or WMD ambitions or capabilities. As a NATO member, Turkey also hosts U.S. nuclear bombs on its territory, although some question the durability of this relationship. This dynamic has naturally led to speculation that Turkish leaders might someday consider moving beyond a civilian course to develop nuclear weapons. Yet there has been remarkably little informed analysis and debate on Turkey's nuclear future, either within the country or in broader international society. This volume explores the current status and trajectory of Turkey's nuclear program, adding historical perspective, analytical rigor, and strategic insight. The contents include: Foreword Introduction: Why Turkey? Sinan Ülgen; Chapter 1: Turkey and Nuclear Energy, Gürkan Kumbaroglu; Chapter 2: Regulating Nuclear Power, Izak Atiyas; Chapter 3: The Origins of Turkey's Nuclear Policy, Doruk Ergun; Chapter 4: Turkey's National Security Strategy and NATO Nuclear Weapons, Can Kasapoglu; Chapter 5: Turkey and Missile Technology: Asymmetric Defense, Power Projection, and the Military-Industrial Complex, Aaron Stein; Chapter 6: Turkey, the Nonproliferation Treaty, and the Nuclear Suppliers Group, Mark Hibbs; Chapter 7: Turkey and Nuclear Weapons: Can This Be Real? Mustafa Kibaroglu; Chapter 8: Debating Turkey's Nuclear Future, Jessica Varnum; and Conclusion, George Perkovich. Presumed First Paperback Edition, First printing.