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Benchmarking, Temporal Distribution, and Reconciliation Methods for Time Series - Softcover

 
9780387511665: Benchmarking, Temporal Distribution, and Reconciliation Methods for Time Series

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Synopsis

In modern economies, time series play a crucial role at all levels of activity. They are used by decision makers to plan for a better future, by governments to promote prosperity, by central banks to control inflation, by unions to bargain for higher wages, by hospital, school boards, manufacturers, builders, transportation companies, and by consumers in general.

A common misconception is that time series data originate from the direct and straightforward compilations of survey data, censuses, and administrative records. On the contrary, before publication time series are subject to statistical adjustments intended to facilitate analysis, increase efficiency, reduce bias, replace missing values, correct errors, and satisfy cross-sectional additivity constraints. Some of the most common adjustments are benchmarking, interpolation, temporal distribution, calendarization, and reconciliation.

This book discusses the statistical methods most often applied for such adjustments, ranging from ad hoc procedures to regression-based models. The latter are emphasized, because of their clarity, ease of application, and superior results. Each topic is illustrated with many real case examples. In order to facilitate understanding of their properties and limitations of the methods discussed, a real data example, the Canada Total Retail Trade Series, is followed throughout the book.

This book brings together the scattered literature on these topics and presents them using a consistent notation and a unifying view. The book will promote better procedures by large producers of time series, e.g. statistical agencies and central banks. Furthermore, knowing what adjustments are made to the data and what technique is used and how they affect the trend, the business cycles and seasonality of the series, will enable users to perform better modeling, prediction, analysis and planning.

This book will prove useful to graduate students and final year undergraduate students of time series and econometrics, as well as researchers and practitioners in government institutions and business.

From the

"It is an excellent reference book for people working in this area." B. Abraham for Short Book Reviews of the ISI, December 2006

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Other Popular Editions of the Same Title

9780387311029: Benchmarking, Temporal Distribution, and Reconciliation Methods for Time Series (Lecture Notes in Statistics, 186)

Featured Edition

ISBN 10:  0387311025 ISBN 13:  9780387311029
Publisher: Springer, 2006
Softcover