Bernhard Seubert (12 results)

Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. Druck auf Anfrage Neuware - Printed after ordering - Scientific Essay from the year 2019 in the subject Sociology - Economy and Industry, , language: English, abstract: In this text, we will explain how biological systems and businesses are similar in the way they behave and evolve. We will then argue that a good measure of fuzziness, serendipity, uncertainty is beneficial for biological evolution and business. We will then discuss why serendipity is an integral part of evolution. We will try to demonstrate that the same rules that make biological evolution successful apply to business, too. Mathematical concepts and their limitations will be discussed briefly. A short example of how this applies for petroleum exploration has been added.…

Paperback. Condition: Brand New. 190 pages. 9.00x6.00x0.45 inches. In Stock.

Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. Druck auf Anfrage Neuware - Printed after ordering - Scientific Essay from the year 2014 in the subject Psychology - Industrial and organizational psychology, grade: A, , language: English, abstract: Good decision-making creates value for a company. The decision to drill in the right place (or not) has strong economic repercussions. Moreover, the human approach to decision-making can be flawed. Many of the common flaws in decision-making are related to heuristic factors; that is, by human ways of thinking and drawing conclusions. These factors can negatively impact the outcomes of an exploration program.This paper gives examples of cases in which geoscientific reasoning can lead to pitfalls, and explores why this is so. The paper then discusses the merits of the multiple working hypotheses (MWH) concept as an aid to harnessing seemingly contradictory data relating to several, often mutually exclusive, interpretations or scenarios. A simple method using a spreadsheet and decision-tree analysis is proposed to quantify the outcomes of multiple scenarios. The method is illustrated by a subsurface example in which two possible interpretations, reef versus volcano, are considered. An outlook of Bayesian statistics and other methods is included.…

Paperback. Condition: Brand New. 172 pages. German language. 8.27x5.83x0.39 inches. In Stock.

12° Broschur. Condition: Gut. 171 S. Broschur. Bei dem Buch handelt es sich um ein ehemaliges Bibliotheksexemplar mit Signatur und Stempel. M11308. Sprache: Französisch Gewicht in Gramm: 250.

Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. In der Welt sein | Gedichte 1980 bis 2015 | Bernhard Seubert | Taschenbuch | 172 S. | Deutsch | 2016 | epubli | EAN 9783737594073 | Verantwortliche Person für die EU: Neopubli GmbH, Sebastian Stude, Köpenicker Str. 154a, 10997 Berlin, produktsicherheit[at]epubli[dot]com | Anbieter: preigu.…

Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. This item is printed on demand - it takes 3-4 days longer - Neuware -Scientific Essay from the year 2019 in the subject Sociology - Economy and Industry, , language: English, abstract: In this text, we will explain how biological systems and businesses are similar in the way they behave and evolve. We will then argue that a good measure of fuzziness, serendipity, uncertainty is beneficial for biological evolution and business. We will then discuss why serendipity is an integral part of evolution. We will try to demonstrate that the same rules that make biological evolution successful apply to business, too. Mathematical concepts and their limitations will be discussed briefly. A short example of how this applies for petroleum exploration has been added. 16 pp. Englisch.…

Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. This item is printed on demand - it takes 3-4 days longer - Neuware -Scientific Essay from the year 2014 in the subject Psychology - Industrial and organizational psychology, grade: A, , language: English, abstract: Good decision-making creates value for a company. The decision to drill in the right place (or not) has strong economic repercussions. Moreover, the human approach to decision-making can be flawed. Many of the common flaws in decision-making are related to heuristic factors; that is, by human ways of thinking and drawing conclusions. These factors can negatively impact the outcomes of an exploration program. This paper gives examples of cases in which geoscientific reasoning can lead to pitfalls, and explores why this is so. The paper then discusses the merits of the multiple working hypotheses (MWH) concept as an aid to harnessing seemingly contradictory data relating to several, often mutually exclusive, interpretations or scenarios. A simple method using a spreadsheet and decision-tree analysis is proposed to quantify the outcomes of multiple scenarios. The method is illustrated by a subsurface example in which two possible interpretations, reef versus volcano, are considered. An outlook of Bayesian statistics and other methods is included. 24 pp. Englisch.…

Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. This item is printed on demand - Print on Demand Titel. Neuware -Scientific Essay from the year 2019 in the subject Sociology - Economy and Industry, , language: English, abstract: In this text, we will explain how biological systems and businesses are similar in the way they behave and evolve. We will then argue that a good measure of fuzziness, serendipity, uncertainty is beneficial for biological evolution and business. We will then discuss why serendipity is an integral part of evolution. We will try to demonstrate that the same rules that make biological evolution successful apply to business, too. Mathematical concepts and their limitations will be discussed briefly. A short example of how this applies for petroleum exploration has been added.GRIN Publishing GmbH, Waltherstraße 23, 80337 München 16 pp. Englisch.…

Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. This item is printed on demand - Print on Demand Titel. Neuware -Scientific Essay from the year 2014 in the subject Psychology - Industrial and organizational psychology, grade: A, , language: English, abstract: Good decision-making creates value for a company. The decision to drill in the right place (or not) has strong economic repercussions. Moreover, the human approach to decision-making can be flawed. Many of the common flaws in decision-making are related to heuristic factors; that is, by human ways of thinking and drawing conclusions. These factors can negatively impact the outcomes of an exploration program. This paper gives examples of cases in which geoscientific reasoning can lead to pitfalls, and explores why this is so. The paper then discusses the merits of the multiple working hypotheses (MWH) concept as an aid to harnessing seemingly contradictory data relating to several, often mutually exclusive, interpretations or scenarios. A simple method using a spreadsheet and decision-tree analysis is proposed to quantify the outcomes of multiple scenarios. The method is illustrated by a subsurface example in which two possible interpretations, reef versus volcano, are considered. An outlook of Bayesian statistics and other methods is included. 24 pp. Englisch.…

Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. Similarity Between Biological Systems and Businesses. Why Failure is Good for Business and Petroleum Exploration | Bernhard Seubert | Taschenbuch | Englisch | 2021 | GRIN Verlag | EAN 9783346522269 | Verantwortliche Person für die EU: preigu GmbH & Co. KG, Lengericher Landstr. 19, 49078 Osnabrück, mail[at]preigu[dot]de | Anbieter: preigu Print on Demand.…

Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. How to Make Better Decisions. Examples from Exploration | Bernhard Seubert | Taschenbuch | Englisch | 2021 | GRIN Verlag | EAN 9783346545985 | Verantwortliche Person für die EU: preigu GmbH & Co. KG, Lengericher Landstr. 19, 49078 Osnabrück, mail[at]preigu[dot]de | Anbieter: preigu Print on Demand.…