Year 2000 Framework Speculation Next by Kahn Herman (21 results)

Hardcover. Condition: Good. No Jacket. Missing dust jacket; Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

Hardcover. Condition: Good. No Jacket. Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

Hardcover. Condition: Very Good. Dust Jacket Condition: Good. 1st Edition. Fourth printing. Light to moderate wear to edges of jacket. Tiny rear top rear, slightly larger closed tear top front. Light rubbing/bumping to edges of boards. Previous owner's stamp to front endpaper, interior otherwise clean and unmarked.…

Hardcover. Condition: Very Good. No Jacket. 1st Edition. Stated First Printing. Bound in green cloth with title and authors on a blue panel on the spine. The panel colors have worn. Otherwise the book is clean, tight, and unmarked. 431 pp. including an index.

Hardcover. Condition: Fair. No Jacket. Former library book; Readable copy. Pages may have considerable notes/highlighting. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

Hardcover. Condition: Fair. No Jacket. Readable copy. Pages may have considerable notes/highlighting. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

Hardcover. Condition: Good. No Jacket. Missing dust jacket; Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

Hardcover. Condition: Good. No Jacket. Missing dust jacket; Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

Hardcover. Condition: Good. No Jacket. Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

Cloth. Condition: Near Fine. Dust Jacket Condition: Very Good. 8vo. 431 pp. Green cloth in dust jacket. Light edgewear and scuffing to dj. Faint discoloration to endpapers. Text clean, binding sound. Predictions on the future of society sponsored by the American Academy of Arts and Sciences.

Hardcover. Condition: Good. 431 pages. DJ slightly worn, Text tanned, light foxing to front and end papers.

Hardcover. Condition: Good. Dust Jacket Condition: Good. First Printing [stated]. xxviii, [2], 431, [3] pages. Figures. Tables. Index. DJ slightly soiled, small tears & chips along top & bottom edges of DJ, small rough spot ins front flyleaf. Herman Kahn (February 15, 1922 - July 7, 1983) was a founder of the Hudson Institute and one of the preeminent futurists of the latter part of the twentieth century. He originally came to prominence as a military strategist and systems theorist while employed at the RAND Corporation. He became known for analyzing the likely consequences of nuclear war and recommending ways to improve survivability, making him one of three historical inspirations for the title character of Stanley Kubrick's classic black comedy film satire Dr. Strangelove. His theories contributed heavily to the development of the nuclear strategy of the United States. This is the first volume of the studies done under the Commission on the Year 2000, sponsored by the American Academy of Arts and Sciences and supported by the Corning Glass Foundation and the Carnegie Corporation. In 1967, Herman Kahn and Anthony J. Wiener published The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty-Three Years, which included contributions from staff members of the Hudson Institute and an introduction by Daniel Bell. Table XVIII in the document contains a list called "One Hundred Technical Innovations Very Likely in the Last Third of the Twentieth Century". The book he and Mr. Kahn wrote was "The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty-three Years," and its publication was a milestone in the futurism fad of the 1960s. The book combined multifarious elements, from the insights of Aristotle to sophisticated statistical analysis, to create what the authors called "a framework for speculation." About half of its 100 predictions panned out â" not including 150-year life spans or months of hibernation for humans. But accuracy mattered less than what Mr. Wiener called "reducing the role of thoughtlessness" in making societal choices. Clarification, not prophecy, was the goal. The first ten predictions, in which they 'batted a thousand', were: Multiple applications of lasers. Extreme high-strength structural materials. New or improved superperformance fabrics. New or improved materials for equipment and appliances. New airborne vehicles (ground-effect vehicles, giant or supersonic jets, VTOL, STOL). Extensive commercial applications of shaped-charge explosives. More reliable and longer-range weather forecasting. Extensive and/or intensive expansion of tropical agriculture and forestry. New sources of power for fixed installations. New sources of power for ground transportation.…

Hardcover. Condition: Fine. Dust Jacket Condition: Near Fine. 1st Edition. Hardcover with DJ. Cloth. Excellent condition, with owner's name. Top edge stain, little faded. Clean fresh to text. A handsome copy. xviii, 431pp.

hardcover. Condition: New. In shrink wrap. Looks like an interesting title.

Hardcover. Condition: Good. No Jacket. Former library book; Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

Hardcover. Condition: Fair. No Jacket. Readable copy. Pages may have considerable notes/highlighting. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

Hardcover. Condition: Good. No Jacket. Missing dust jacket; Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

Condition: Good. 1968. Fifth Printing. 431 pages. Illustrated dust jacket over green cloth boards. Gilt lettering. Clean pages with light tanning. Pencil markings to front free endpaper. Moderate blue liquid stains to free endpapers. Top textblock edge dyed blue with water marks. Binding remains firm. Boards have mild edge wear with slight rubbing to surfaces and bumping to corners. Gilt lettering is bright and clear. Minor wear marks to boards. Unclipped jacket. Panels and spine have light edge wear with tears and creases. Minor wear marks to spine and panels. Jacket is in removable plastic cover.…

Hardcover. Condition: new. New Copy. Customer Service Guaranteed.

Hardcover. Condition: Good. Dust Jacket Condition: Good. First Edition. DJ has light edge wear with scuffing and smudging as well as tearing and creasing. Boards have light shelf rubbing with scuffing and smudging as well as bumping. Binding is tight. End pages have age-toning and smudging. Page edges have light scuffing and smudging. Interior pages are age-toned and smudged. This could have light cosmetic flaws, but remains in good condition. The book is inscribed by Author. Dust jacket condition is Good. This copy is the First Edition of the published work. This copy is the First Printing of the published work. Secure packaging for safe delivery. signed and inscribed by author.…

First edition, second printing, inscribed by Herman Kahn on the front free endpaper, 'Jan 5, 1968 To Russell Robins, With my compliments and I hope for your interest Herman Kahn'. An unusually nice copy in the dust jacket and scarce signed. The Year 2000, published in 1967, concerns Hudson Institute colleagues Herman Kahn and Anthony J. Wiener's predictions for what the world might look like at the turn of the millennium. As futurists, they saw such study as 'a vital part of the conduct of public policy and the strategies of survival.' (blurb) Kahn, also a physicist and nuclear strategist, came to prominence for his 1960 book On Thermonuclear War, a controversial and intensely pragmatic approach to nuclear exchange published when he worked at the RAND Corporation, in which he posited nuclear war as 'winnable'. After selling 30000 copies in hardcover, the book shaped the conversation around nuclear weapons to such an extent that it had a notable impact on the formation of the American nuclear doctrine. Kahn is also regarded as one of the key inspirations behind Stanley Kubrick's infamous character, Dr. Strangelove. First edition, second printing, inscribed by the author on the front free endpaper; large 8vo; some light offsetting to endpapers, a little creasing to upper corners of text block; publisher's green cloth, title to spine in gilt on blue ground, corners gently bumped, in the original printed dust jacket, lightly rubbed and dulled with some nicks, short splits, and creasing, a very good copy; xxviii, 431pp.…